Indianapolis Colts vs. Atlanta Falcons Prediction, Odds, NFL Picks - Week 16 [2023]

The Atlanta Falcons and Indianapolis Colts will meet in Week 16 of the NFL season at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Sunday, starting at 1:00PM ET.

Dimers.com's in-depth betting preview for Sunday's Colts vs. Falcons matchup includes the latest betting odds, as well as our predictions and picks for the game.

Colts vs. Falcons Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread

We have used powerful machine learning and statistics to simulate the result of Sunday's NFL game between the Colts and Falcons 10,000 times, in line with our coverage of NFL predictions.

Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Falcons a 59% chance of defeating the Colts in Week 16 of the NFL season, and our predicted final score has the Falcons winning 23-21.

According to our model, the Colts (+3) have a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the 44-point Over/Under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

This Indianapolis vs. Atlanta betting preview is sponsored by Bet365, which has a Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets offer for new customers.

Colts vs. Falcons Odds

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Colts	Falcons
Spread	+3 (-115)	-3 (-105)
Moneyline	+132	-145
Total	o44 (-115)	u44 (-105)

• The Falcons are -3 favorites versus the Colts, with -105 at DraftKings Sportsbook the best odds currently available.
• For the underdog Colts (+3) to cover the spread, DraftKings also has the best odds currently on offer at -115.
• BetMGM Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Falcons at -145, which means you can risk $145 to win $100 for a total payout of $245 if they get the W.
• Meanwhile, FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Colts at +132, where you can bet $100 to profit $132, earning a total payout of $232 if they win.
• The Over/Under for total points scored is set at 44 with DraftKings, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -115, as well as the best odds for the Under at -105.

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

As always, make sure you check the sports betting sites you have access to in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.

Colts vs. Falcons Picks

By comparing our predictions to the odds listed above, we have determined the best betting picks for this game:

Bet Type	Our Pick	Best Odds
Spread	Colts +3	-115
Moneyline	Falcons	-145
Total	Under 44	-105

Our NFL best bets are based on detailed simulations and gambling intelligence to serve you the best possible plays every week of the season.

Colts vs. Falcons TD Scorers

Who will score the first touchdown in Colts vs. Falcons?

According to our model, Atlanta's Bijan Robinson is most likely to score the first TD in Colts vs. Falcons.

Our projections give Robinson a 12.1% chance of scoring the first TD at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, while the Falcons RB is a 49.1% chance of reaching the end zone at any point in the game.

First Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Indianapolis Colts

Player	First TD Probability
Jonathan Taylor	10.6%
Josh Downs	7.5%
Alec Pierce	6.3%
D.J. Montgomery	3.5%
Kylen Granson	3.5%

Atlanta Falcons

Player	First TD Probability
Bijan Robinson	12.1%
Drake London	9.0%
Tyler Allgeier	7.3%
Cordarrelle Patterson	5.9%
Kyle Pitts	5.4%

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Indianapolis Colts

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Jonathan Taylor	44.6%
Josh Downs	32.5%
Alec Pierce	29.4%
D.J. Montgomery	17.0%
Kylen Granson	16.7%

Atlanta Falcons

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Bijan Robinson	49.1%
Drake London	38.2%
Tyler Allgeier	31.3%
Cordarrelle Patterson	26.3%
Kyle Pitts	25.6%

Colts vs Falcons Player Props

Here, you will find detailed projections for all of the key offensive players from the Colts and Falcons, including passing, rushing and receiving yards.

Colts vs. Falcons Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Colts' Gardner Minshew is projected for 248 passing yards, while the Falcons' Taylor Heinicke is expected to throw for 232 yards.

Player	Proj. Pass Yards
Gardner Minshew (IND)	248 yds
Taylor Heinicke (ATL)	232 yds

Colts Rushing

Player	Proj. Rush Yards
Jonathan Taylor	84 yds
Trey Sermon	15 yds
Gardner Minshew	9 yds

Falcons Rushing

Player	Proj. Rush Yards
Bijan Robinson	59 yds
Tyler Allgeier	41 yds
Cordarrelle Patterson	17 yds

Colts Receiving

Player	Proj. Rec. Yards
Josh Downs	60 yds
Alec Pierce	52 yds
D.J. Montgomery	32 yds
Jonathan Taylor	29 yds
Kylen Granson	20 yds

Falcons Receiving

Player	Proj. Rec. Yards
Drake London	56 yds
Kyle Pitts	35 yds
Bijan Robinson	24 yds
Jonnu Smith	21 yds
Scott Miller	20 yds

Remember, our model updates often, so keep an eye on this article for any changes to our betting insights before the Colts vs. Falcons on Sunday December 24, 2023.

Colts vs. Falcons Game Information

The NFL Week 16 game between the Falcons and Colts at Mercedes-Benz Stadium is scheduled to start at 1:00PM ET.

• Who: Indianapolis Colts vs. Atlanta Falcons
• Date: Sunday December 24, 2023
• Time: 1:00PM ET / 10:00AM PT
• Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Our full coverage of Colts vs. Falcons includes pregame predictions, betting picks, and live win probabilities.

How to Bet on Colts vs. Falcons

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Conclusion

This preview article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on Colts vs. Falcons Week 14 game, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control are performed to ensure the content meets our editorial standards.

Our predictions are made thanks to 10,000 simulations per game, using reliable and up-to-date data sources and analytical methods. While our Colts vs. Falcons predictions can help you make informed decisions, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and manage your bankroll effectively.

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