Indiana State vs. Northern Iowa prediction: Northern Iowa favored to win men's college basketball matchup [1/1/2026]

Northern Iowa will take on Indiana State in men's college basketball action at McLeod Center on New Year's Day, starting at 8:00 PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven college basketball model predicts Northern Iowa as the most likely winner of the Indiana State vs. Northern Iowa game.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Thursday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Indiana State vs. Northern Iowa prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's NCAA basketball matchup between Indiana State and Northern Iowa 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives Northern Iowa an 82% chance of beating Indiana State. Our predicted final score has Northern Iowa winning 71-62.

According to our model, Indiana State (+9.5) has a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the 134.5-point over/under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

Indiana State vs. Northern Iowa odds

We have researched the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Indiana State vs. Northern Iowa picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below: