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Fever vs. Sparks prediction: Caitlin Clark projected to ccore 18 points in Wednesday's WNBA matchup [5/13/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Indiana Fever vs Los Angeles Sparks predictions for WNBA Wednesday.
The Los Angeles Sparks will take on the Indiana Fever, in what is expected to be a close WNBA game, at Crypto.com Arena on Wednesday, beginning at 10:30 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced WNBA model gives the Fever a slight edge with a 54% win probability over the Sparks.
The Sparks, with the likes of Nneka Ogwumike, Kelsey Plum and Dearica Hamby, are set to take on the Fever, featuring Kelsey Mitchell, Caitlin Clark and Aliyah Boston.
Clark, the hoops superstar making headlines with the Fever, is expected to deliver a standout performance with a projected 18 points and 3 threes.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Wednesday's Fever vs. Sparks matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Fever vs. Sparks prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's WNBA game between the Fever and Sparks, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Fever a 54% chance of beating the Sparks.
According to our model, the Sparks (+1.5) have a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 185.5 points has a 71% chance of staying under.
Fever vs. Sparks odds
We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Fever | Sparks |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -1.5 (-105) | +1.5 (-114) |
| Moneyline | -118 | +100 |
| Total | o185.5 (-110) | u185.5 (-108) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Fever vs. Sparks picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Sparks +1.5 | -114 |
| Moneyline | Fever | -118 |
| Total | Under 185.5 | -108 |
According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 185.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Fever vs. Sparks player props
Betting on Fever vs. Sparks WNBA player props? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Crypto.com Arena.
Kelsey Mitchell is expected to lead the Fever with 23 points, 2 rebounds and 4 assists, while Nneka Ogwumike is projected to have 20 points, 7 rebounds and 2 assists for the Sparks.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's WNBA first basket picks.
Fever prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Fever are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Mitchell | 23 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 36 |
| Caitlin Clark | 18 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 44 |
| Aliyah Boston | 15 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 37 |
| S. Cunningham | 9 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 20 |
| M. Hines-Allen | 8 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 23 |
Sparks prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Sparks:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nneka Ogwumike | 20 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 38 |
| Kelsey Plum | 19 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 35 |
| Dearica Hamby | 17 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 36 |
| Ariel Atkins | 14 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 31 |
| Rae Burrell | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 21 |
Fever vs. Sparks game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's game between the Sparks and Fever at Crypto.com Arena is scheduled to begin at 10:30 PM ET.
- Who: Indiana Fever vs. Los Angeles Sparks
- Date: Wednesday, May 13, 2026
- Time: 10:30 PM ET/7:30PM PT
- Venue: Crypto.com Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Fever, with a 54% win probability, will likely beat the Sparks in Wednesday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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