WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Wednesday, May 13, 2026
Get first basket predictions today driven by expert analysis of WNBA slate on 5/13.

Our WNBA first basket picks and predictions for today—Wednesday, May 13, 2026—are live with the Raptors' Brittney Griner projected as the most likely player to score first.
Dimers’ first basket projections draw on key first basket stats, including player efficiency, shot frequency, and expected starting lineups, forming part of our daily WNBA player projections.
Griner, A'ja Wilson and Marina Mabrey lead Wednesday’s most likely first basket scorers, while we also highlight tonight's top first basket value picks by comparing real-time odds to model-generated probabilities.
WNBA first basket predictions tonight (May 13, 2026)
| Player (Team) | FB Probability |
|---|---|
| Brittney Griner (Sun) | 16.5% |
| A'ja Wilson (Aces) | 16.1% |
| Marina Mabrey (Tempo) | 14.9% |
| Kelsey Mitchell (Fever) | 13.9% |
| Dearica Hamby (Sparks) | 13.8% |
| Chennedy Carter (Aces) | 13.7% |
| Kamilla Cardoso (Sky) | 13.6% |
| Dominique Malonga (Storm) | 13.4% |
| Aneesah Morrow (Sun) | 12.3% |
| Janelle Salaun (Valkyries) | 12.2% |
| Jackie Young (Aces) | 11.8% |
| Rickea Jackson (Sky) | 11.7% |
| Natisha Hiedeman (Storm) | 11.7% |
| Skylar Diggins-Smith (Sky) | 11.3% |
| Flau'jae Johnson (Storm) | 11.0% |
| Nneka Ogwumike (Sparks) | 10.9% |
| Caitlin Clark (Fever) | 10.5% |
| Brittney Sykes (Tempo) | 10.4% |
| Kayla Thornton (Valkyries) | 10.4% |
| Aliyah Boston (Fever) | 10.3% |
| Saniya Rivers (Sun) | 10.3% |
| Olivia Nelson-Ododa (Sun) | 10.3% |
| Gabby Williams (Valkyries) | 10.2% |
| Kiki Rice (Tempo) | 9.8% |
| Diamond Miller (Sun) | 9.8% |
| NaLyssa Smith (Aces) | 9.3% |
| Kelsey Plum (Sparks) | 8.8% |
| Veronica Burton (Valkyries) | 8.7% |
| Lexie Brown (Storm) | 8.5% |
| Kaila Charles (Valkyries) | 8.5% |
| Rae Burrell (Sparks) | 8.3% |
| Ariel Atkins (Sparks) | 8.1% |
| Myisha Hines-Allen (Fever) | 8.1% |
| Nyara Sabally (Tempo) | 7.8% |
| Kennedy Burke (Sun) | 7.3% |
| Sophie Cunningham (Fever) | 7.2% |
| Gabriela Jaquez (Sky) | 7.1% |
| Chelsea Gray (Aces) | 7.0% |
| Julie Allemand (Tempo) | 7.0% |
| Jacy Sheldon (Sky) | 6.2% |
| Jewell Loyd (Aces) | 5.8% |
| Aaliyah Edwards (Sun) | 5.5% |
| Stefanie Dolson (Storm) | 5.3% |

WNBA first basket picks today (May 13, 2026)
| Player | Team | Edge | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julie Allemand | Tempo | 2.3% | +2000 | 7.0% |
| Chelsea Gray | Aces | 2.0% | +1900 | 7.0% |
| Ariel Atkins | Sparks | 1.5% | +1400 | 8.1% |
| Natisha Hiedeman | Storm | 1.2% | +850 | 11.7% |
| Rae Burrell | Sparks | 1.2% | +1300 | 8.3% |
| Sophie Cunningham | Fever | 1.0% | +1500 | 7.2% |
| Brittney Sykes | Tempo | 0.9% | +950 | 10.4% |
| Kaila Charles | Valkyries | 0.8% | +1200 | 8.5% |
| Jackie Young | Aces | 0.7% | +800 | 11.8% |
| Kelsey Mitchell | Fever | 0.5% | +650 | 13.9% |
Edges represent the difference between model probability and implied odds.
For more insights on prop markets and value plays across the league, explore our full list of NBA prop bets for 5/13.
Conclusion: Betting on today's NBA first basket
For Wednesday, May 13, 2026, Brittney Griner, A'ja Wilson and Marina Mabrey lead our first basket projections, while Julie Allemand shapes as the strongest value play at +2000. All picks and predictions are derived from Dimers’ WNBA first basket model.
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