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How Dimers.com's Predictive Analytics Model Hit The Winning Bet At The 2021 British Open Golf Championship

How Dimers.com's Predictive Analytics Model Hit The Winning Bet At The 2021 British Open Golf Championship

The 149th Open Championship has been run and won, with 24-year-old Collin Morikawa securing his second major victory, with 15-under enough to hold off Jordan Spieth and Jon Rahm.

And if you were across the Dimers.com Golf Bet Hub in the days leading up to, and during, the tournament, there's a good chance you've cashed in on what the great DimersBOT was predicting!

Coming into the tournament, Morikawa was ranked around the 14th best chance to win the tournament by most of the popular sportsbooks, but the second best chance (!!) by our predictive analytics model.

RELATED: British Open Golf Championship: Picks, Bets and Odds

As you can see above, this edge in probabilities vs. the sportsbooks odds meant that our model labelled Morikawa (and Ancer) with a flame🔥  which was effectively DimersBOT's way of saying he was an absolute must bet. These flames continued for Morikawa right across the Top-20, Top-10 and Top-5 markets.



DimersBOT's love for Morikawa continued throughout the tournament, with the Californian's win probability increasing to 8.8% after the first day of play.

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As you can see below, Morikawa shot a commendable 3-under par on the opening day, to be in a tie for 9th with nine other guys, including former major winners Justin Rose and Danny Willett.

At this point, DimersBOT gave Collin a MUCH better chance of going on to win the tournament than other guys around him, with his 8.8% probability ranking him as the third-best chance in the field, even though eight guys were ahead of him and eight more were on the exact same score!

Thanks to BetMGM, we know that Morikawa was +400 following the second day's play, which again would've had DimersBOT pushing him hard as a bet!

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Another interesting note from the below screenshot is that DimersBOT had Jon Rahm as the fourth best chance to win, despite sitting in a tie for 12th place. Rahm's probability had dropped hard after round one to be at 2.9% before jumping back up thanks to his 6-under 64 on Friday.

So that means after Friday's play, DimersBOT had the top four as Oosthuizen, Morikawa, Spieth and Rahm. It finished as Morikawa, Spieth, Oosthuizen/Rahm. Not bad BOT, not bad at all!

Moving ahead to our projections post-Saturday, and the one blemish on DimersBOT's record becomes apparent when the books were still adamant that it was a two-horse race between the final pair.

Now, it's not like Louis completely lost the plot or anything, but he did end up finishing four shots behind the champ and in a tie for third with Jon Rahm.

Morikawa's odds prior to Sunday's play sat at +180 with BetMGM which were still very tasty for those that checked in with the ever-updating probabilities on the Bet Hub.

Basically, what we've learned this week is that we need to 'trust the model' and listen when DimersBOT has an edge as large as the one detected on Collin Morikawa pre-tournament.

Be sure to check in with the Dimers.com Golf Bet Hub before every PGA event for probabilities on the winner, Top-5, Top-10 and Top-20 markets with the best odds displayed so you can cash in to maximum effect!

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Ryan Leaver
Senior Sports and Sports Betting Editor

Ryan Leaver has long been entrenched in the world of sports and sports betting, now specializing in the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. His passion shines through in his detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles for both the NBA and NFL, along with his sharp prop bets for college football and insightful best bets for college basketball. Ryan’s expertise also extends to soccer, where he frequently offers practical betting tips and highlights the bets of the day. 

Known for his keen eye for valuable betting promos, Ryan adeptly guides bettors toward opportunities that enhance their wagering experiences. Collaborating often with DimersBOT, his articles are meticulously researched and offer savvy betting advice, making him a trusted source for sports bettors.

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