How Bettors Cashed In On Sports Model's Jon Rahm Pick

The most recent PGA tournament, the Meixco Open, was won by Spanish superstar Jon Rahm and Dimers' powerful analytics model had the favorite as a red-hot pick all week long.

If you were across the Dimers.com Golf Bet Hub in the days leading up to, and during, the tournament, there's a good chance you've cashed in on what the great DimersBOT was predicting!

Coming into the tournament, Rahm was ranked as the clear favorite by all the popular sportsbooks, but even at odds +475, our model still identified the World No. 2 as a value bet.

RELATED: Dimers' Pre-Tournament Pick of Jon Rahm

As you can see above, this edge in probabilities vs. the sportsbooks odds meant that our model labelled Rahm) with a flame 🔥 which was effectively DimersBOT's way of saying he was an absolute must bet.

Although there's no flame on the below images, Rahm was still a smart play right across the Top-20, Top-10 and Top-5 markets.

Top-10

Top-5

DimersBOT's love for Rahm continued throughout the tournament, with the Spaniard's win probability increasing to 40% after the first day of play.

MORE: Probabilities for the Wells Fargo

As you can see below, Rahm shot to a tie of the lead on day one, firing a 7-under 64. Rahm found himself equal first with five other guys, but the BOT was big on the 2021 PGA Champ being the only real chance amongst them.

At this point, DimersBOT gave Rahm a MUCH better chance of going on to win the tournament than those around him, with his 40.0% probability a long way ahead of the next best chance in Brendon Todd at 7.2%.

Moving onto the second day of play, and Rahm's chances of winning continued to increase, with the -120 odds available after Saturday's play still warranting a flame according to our model.

As you can also see at this point, the next two most likely guys to win were sitting around a 5% probability with odds of +1300. Not a bet. 

Moving ahead to our projections post-Saturday, and it's clear that no other man was going to end up winning this thing (even if he did scrape it by just one shot in the end).

Rahm's odds at this point were -150, which in itself has an implied probability of 60%. This means that DimersBOT had him as an almost 10% better chance of winning than the books did. Definitely a bet.

Top-10 Finishes at the Mexico Open

You may have noticed whilst scrolling through the above pre-tournament screenshots, that both Tony Finau and Aaron Wise were liked by the BOT as well. Come the end of Sunday's play both finished near the top, with Finau at T2 and Wise at T6, meaning both were good plays for the Top-20 and Top-10 markets, with Finau (+600) for a Top-5 finish also paying off.

Basically, what we've learned this week is that we need to 'trust the model' and listen when DimersBOT has an edge on the golf, even if you think +470 to win a golf tournament isn't enough.

Be sure to check in with the Dimers.com Golf Bet Hub before and during every PGA event for probabilities on the winner, Top-5, Top-10 and Top-20 markets with the best odds displayed so you can cash in to maximum effect!

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