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Home run predictions and picks: Top bets for Friday led by Kyle Schwarber [5/8/2026]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua
Reviewed by Nick Slade

Our MLB home run predictions for Friday, May 8, 2026, feature Kyle Schwarber as the top projected hitter, according to Dimers Pro's latest simulation data.

MLB Home Run Predictions Today.
Our home run predictions for May 8, 2026, are based on Friday's latest data and matchups.

Our MLB home run predictions for Friday, May 8, 2026, feature Kyle Schwarber as the top projected hitter, based on Dimers Pro's latest simulation data.

Friday's HR projections come straight from our home run predictions, which simulate every MLB matchup 10,000 times to reveal the most likely home run hitters today.

Home run predictions for May 8, 2026

See which hitters join Schwarber on today’s list for our Top 10 home run hitters across all games.


Player (Team)HR Projection
Kyle Schwarber (Phillies)
22.9%
Nick Kurtz (Athletics)
18.7%
Cal Raleigh (Mariners)
18.6%
Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers)
18.2%
Aaron Judge (Yankees)
18.1%
Pete Alonso (Orioles)17.9%
Yordan Alvarez (Astros)
17.6%
Fernando Tatis (Padres)17.6%
Shea Langeliers (Athletics)17.3%
Adolis Garcia (Phillies)
17.1%

Our analysis shows Schwarber leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 22.9% chance to go yard, followed by Nick Kurtz (18.7%) and Cal Raleigh (18.6%).

Aaron Judge and Shohei Ohtani are among several other sluggers to rank inside the top 10.

Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR probability for Friday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.

Shohei-Ohtani-home-run-player-prop-bets.jpgShohei Ohtani ranks in our Top 5 home run picks on Friday, May 8.

Friday's home run picks [5/8/2026]

After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and evaluating key variables like weather and pitching form, Dimers Pro’s data highlights today’s top home run props with an edge, with the latest value found on our MLB Props page.

Pro users have access to all of our home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.


Conclusion

For May 8, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Aaron Judge, Cal Raleigh and Kyle Schwarber projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

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To give you the most accurate and helpful information, this article has been reviewed and edited by Nick Slade through our fact-checking process.
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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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