Heat vs. Knicks Game 1 Prediction and Odds - Apr 30, 2023

Updated: Dec 29, 2023, 2:33 AM ET | First published: Apr 27, 2023, 9:33 AM ET

Heat vs. Knicks Game 1 Prediction and Odds - Apr 30, 2023

The New York Knicks square off with the Miami Heat in the 2023 NBA Playoffs at Madison Square Garden on Sunday, commencing at 1:00PM ET.

The NBA Playoffs is an annual elimination tournament held to determine the league's champion.

A total of 16 teams, including the Heat and Knicks, reached the NBA Playoffs 2023, which includes 4 rounds – the First Round, Conference Semifinals, Conference Finals and NBA Finals.

Each round of the NBA Playoffs is contested as a best-of-seven series, with the first team to four wins progressing to the next round of the competition.

Dimers' top betting picks for Heat vs. Knicks, as well as game predictions, best odds and player props, are detailed in this article.

Who will win Heat vs. Knicks Game 1?

Based on state-of-the-art machine learning and data, Dimers.com has simulated Sunday's Heat-Knicks NBA Playoffs matchup 10,000 times.

Dimers' famous predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, currently gives the Knicks a 61% chance of getting the W against the Heat.

More: Game 1 Betting Guide for Heat vs. Knicks

Heat vs. Knicks Game 1 Odds

Spread: Knicks -4 (-110), Heat +4 (-106)
Moneyline: Knicks -170, Heat +154
Total: Over/Under 210 (-110/-110)

Point Spread, Moneyline and Over/Under

The Knicks are currently -4 favorites against the Heat, with -110 at PointsBet the best odds currently available.

For the underdog Heat (+4) to cover the spread, FanDuel Sportsbook has the best odds currently on offer at -106.

PointsBet currently has the best moneyline odds for the Knicks at -170. That means you can risk $170 to win $100, for a total payout of $270, if they get the W.

On the other hand, FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Heat at +154, where you can put down $100 to profit $154, earning a total payout of $254, if they win.

The Over/Under is set at 210 with PointsBet, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -110, as well as the best odds for the Under at -110.

As always, make sure you check the sportsbooks you have access to in your state for the best NBA odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the Heat (+4) are a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the Over/Under total of 210 points is a 51% chance of going Over.

More: Live Win Probabilities for All Major Sports

Best Bets for Heat vs. Knicks Game 1

Spread: Heat +4 @ -106 via FanDuel Sportsbook (53% probability)
Moneyline: Heat @ +154 via FanDuel Sportsbook
Total: Over 210 @ -110 via PointsBet (51% probability)

Our best bets are based on world-class modeling and gambling expertise to help you make more informed investments with the legal sportsbooks in America.

While the Knicks are more likely to win the game, according to DimersBOT, betting on the Heat moneyline is the best option because of the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the sportsbooks' odds currently on offer.

Taking advantage of the edges published here at Dimers is pivotal to being profitable in the long run.

Heat vs. Knicks Game 1 Prediction

Dimers.com's predicted final score for Miami vs. New York at Madison Square Garden this Sunday has the Knicks winning 106-103.

Click or tap on See Matchup to reveal more.

Dimers has full coverage of Sunday's Heat-Knicks matchup, including pregame predictions, top betting picks, and live win probabilities.

Heat vs. Knicks Game 1 Player Props

Looking for Miami vs. New York prop bets and player prop picks? DimersBOT has crunched the numbers to project key individual stats for each team, such as points, rebounds and assists.

Jimmy Butler is expected to lead the way for the Heat with 31 points, 6 rebounds and 6 assists, while Jalen Brunson is projected to finish with 26 points, 4 rebounds and 6 assists for the Knicks.

Heat Projected Box Score

Jimmy Butler: 31 PTS, 6 REB, 6 AST
Bam Adebayo: 18 PTS, 7 REB, 4 AST
Max Strus: 13 PTS, 4 REB, 3 AST
Caleb Martin: 11 PTS, 5 REB, 2 AST
Duncan Robinson: 11 PTS, 2 REB, 2 AST

Knicks Projected Box Score

Jalen Brunson: 26 PTS, 4 REB, 6 AST
RJ Barrett: 20 PTS, 4 REB, 3 AST
Immanuel Quickley: 13 PTS, 3 REB, 2 AST
Obi Toppin: 12 PTS, 4 REB, 2 AST
Josh Hart: 11 PTS, 8 REB, 5 AST

Don't forget, DimersBOT updates frequently, so check this article for any changes to our betting insights before Heat vs. Knicks on Sunday April 30, 2023.

Heat vs. Knicks Game 1 Game Info

Sunday's action between the Knicks and Heat in the NBA Playoffs is scheduled to start at 1:00PM ET.

Who: Miami Heat vs. New York Knicks
Date: Sunday April 30, 2023
Time: 1:00PM ET / 10:00AM PT
Venue: Madison Square Garden

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Calling Our Shot 🏀 Best Bets

Calling Our Shot produces daily NBA betting content, including the latest best bets featured below.

All of our predictions are made after 10,000 data-driven simulations per game, giving you reliable and accurate projections that can help you make informed decisions.

If you are planning on using our Heat vs. Knicks predictions when sports betting, it is vital that you gamble responsibly and manage your bankroll effectively.

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

Want more NBA analysis like this?

To get more NBA betting predictions like you've just read for Heat vs. Knicks, all you've gotta do is visit Dimers' NBA Betting News page. It's that easy – they're all there!

We use the power of predictive analytics to find edges in the markets so we can produce the best NBA betting previews out there. We do this by comparing our own probabilities against the sportsbooks' odds (aka Vegas odds) as soon as they go live.

So, get ahead of the game and beat the bookies today – it's only a click away.

As well as NBA game picks and predicitons, we also provide the best NBA prop bets for today, with our projections for points, rebounds, assists and more lined up against the sportsbook odds every single day of the NBA season.

Written by

Dimers Data

Dimers Data delivers cold-blooded analysis straight from thousands of simulations run by predictive models built by our in-house team of data scientists and analysts. No hunches. No guesswork. Just pure, data-led insight serious bettors rely on to stay ahead.

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