Valkyries vs. Fever prediction: Caitlin Clark projected to score 18 points in Friday's WNBA matchup [5/22/2026]

The Indiana Fever and Golden State Valkyries are scheduled to meet in the WNBA at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Friday, starting at 7:30 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced WNBA model predicts the Fever as the most likely winner of the Valkyries vs. Fever game.

The Fever, who have stars such as Kelsey Mitchell, Caitlin Clark and Aliyah Boston, are set to take on the Valkyries, featuring Veronica Burton, Janelle Salaun and Kayla Thornton.

Clark, the sweet-shooting guard for the Fever, is expected to shine with a projected 18 points and 3 threes.

This article offers further insights into Friday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.

Valkyries vs. Fever prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's WNBA game between the Valkyries and Fever, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Fever a 73% chance of beating the Valkyries.

According to our model, the Fever (-5.5) have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the 167.5-point over/under has a 56% chance of going over.

Valkyries vs. Fever odds

We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Valkyries	Fever
Spread	+5.5 (-102)	-5.5 (-105)
Moneyline	+195	-220
Total	o167.5 (-110)	u167.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Valkyries vs. Fever picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Fever -5.5	-105
Moneyline	Fever	-220
Total	Over 167.5	-110

According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Fever to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Valkyries vs. Fever player props

WNBA prop bets are a great way to wager on Friday's Valkyries vs. Fever game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.

Veronica Burton is expected to lead the Valkyries with 12 points, 4 rebounds and 6 assists, while Kelsey Mitchell is projected to have 22 points, 2 rebounds and 3 assists for the Fever.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's WNBA first basket picks.

Valkyries prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Valkyries are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Veronica Burton	12	4	6	1	31
Janelle Salaun	11	4	1	2	21
Kayla Thornton	11	5	1	2	24
Gabby Williams	11	3	4	1	27
Tiffany Hayes	9	3	2	1	18

Fever prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Fever:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Kelsey Mitchell	22	2	3	3	33
Caitlin Clark	18	5	8	3	44
Aliyah Boston	11	7	3	0	28
M. Billings	7	5	1	0	19
M. Hines-Allen	5	5	2	0	18

Valkyries vs. Fever game-day updates and essential details

Friday's game between the Fever and Valkyries at Gainbridge Fieldhouse is scheduled to commence at 7:30 PM ET.

• Who: Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Fever
• Date: Friday, May 22, 2026
• Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
• Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse

Conclusion

We predict the Fever, with a 73% win probability, will likely beat the Valkyries in Friday's WNBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.