Fresno State vs. UNLV prediction: UNLV favored to win men's college basketball matchup [12/20/2025]

UNLV will face Fresno State in men's college basketball action at Thomas & Mack Center on Saturday, starting at 7:00 PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced college basketball model predicts UNLV as the most likely winner of the Fresno State vs. UNLV game.

This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Fresno State vs. UNLV prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's NCAA basketball game between Fresno State and UNLV 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives UNLV a 79% chance of beating Fresno State. Our predicted final score has UNLV winning 82-73.

According to our model, UNLV (-7.5) has a 57% chance of covering the spread, while the 158.5-point over/under has a 53% chance of staying under.

Fresno State vs. UNLV odds

We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Fresno State vs. UNLV picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below: