Fresno State vs. Arkansas prediction: Why Arkansas is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [12/6/2025]

Arkansas will square off with Fresno State in men's college basketball action at Simmons Bank Arena on Saturday, starting at 4:00PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced college basketball model predicts Arkansas as the most likely winner of the Fresno State vs. Arkansas game.

This article offers further insights into Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Fresno State vs. Arkansas prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's NCAA basketball game between Fresno State and Arkansas 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives Arkansas a 95% chance of defeating Fresno State. Our predicted final score has Arkansas winning 89-70.

According to our model, Arkansas (-18.5) has a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the 156.5-point over/under has a 54% chance of going over.

Fresno State vs. Arkansas odds

We have researched the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Fresno State vs. Arkansas picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below: