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FSU vs. UNC prediction: North Carolina favored to win men's college basketball matchup [12/30/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get FSU vs UNC predictions for college basketball Tuesday.
Men's college basketball action continues on Tuesday at 7:00 PM ET as FSU looks to defy the odds against UNC in men's college basketball action at Dean E. Smith Center.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven college basketball model projects North Carolina as the most likely winner of the FSU vs. UNC game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Tuesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
FSU vs. UNC prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday's NCAA basketball matchup between FSU and UNC 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives North Carolina a 90% chance of defeating Florida State. Our predicted final score has North Carolina winning 86-71.
According to our model, North Carolina (-14.5) has a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the 162.5-point over/under has a 54% chance of staying under.
FSU vs. UNC odds
We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | FSU | UNC |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +14.5 (-102) | -14.5 (-118) |
| Moneyline | +920 | -1400 |
| Total | o162.5 (-115) | u162.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
FSU vs. UNC picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | North Carolina -14.5 | -118 |
| Moneyline | Florida State | +920 |
| Total | Under 162.5 | -105 |
According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 162.5 total points.
FSU vs. UNC game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's men's college basketball game between UNC and FSU at Dean E. Smith Center is scheduled to begin at 7:00 PM ET.
- Who: Florida State vs. North Carolina
- Date: Tuesday, December 30, 2025
- Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Dean E. Smith Center
Conclusion
We predict North Carolina, with a 90% win probability, will likely beat Florida State on Tuesday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Florida State vs. North Carolina insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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