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Dolphins vs. Bengals Week 4 Prediction and Odds - Sep 29, 2022

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Written by Dimers Data
Dolphins vs. Bengals Week 4 Prediction and Odds - Sep 29, 2022

NFL Week 4 action continues on Thursday at 8:15PM ET as the Miami Dolphins lock horns with the Cincinnati Bengals at Paycor Stadium.

Dimers' top betting picks for Dolphins vs. Bengals, as well as our score prediction, betting odds and projected player stats, are detailed below.

Today's Miami vs. Cincinnati betting analysis is sponsored by FanDuel Sportsbook, which has an awesome No Sweat First Bet deal for new customers.

 

Who will win Dolphins vs. Bengals?

Using advanced computer power and data, Dimers.com has simulated Thursday's Dolphins-Bengals NFL game 10,000 times.

Dimers' proven predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, currently gives the Bengals a 61% chance of beating the Dolphins in Week 4 of the NFL season.

More: Full Betting Analysis for Dolphins vs. Bengals

Dolphins vs. Bengals Current Odds

  • Spread: Bengals -4 (-107), Dolphins +4 (-107)
  • Moneyline: Bengals -190, Dolphins +175
  • Total: Over/Under 48.5 (-110/-102)

Point Spread, Moneyline and Over/Under

The Bengals are currently -4 favorites versus the Dolphins, with -107 at PointsBet the best odds currently available.

For the underdog Dolphins (+4) to cover the spread, PointsBet also has the best odds currently on offer at -107.

DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Bengals at -190, which means you can risk $190 to win $100, for a total payout of $290, if they get the W.

On the other hand, Caesars Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Dolphins at +175, where you can bet $100 to profit $175, earning a total payout of $275, if they win.

The Over/Under for total points scored sits at 48.5 with PointsBet, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -110, while FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best odds for the Under at -102.

As always, make sure you check the sportsbooks you can bet with in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the Dolphins (+4) are a 59% chance of covering the spread, while the Over/Under total of 48.5 points is a 51% chance of going Under.

More: Best Free Bet Tracking Tool

Best Bets for Dolphins vs. Bengals

 

When you see a 🔥, you know you've found one of Dimers' best bets of the day across all major pro and college sports.

Dimers' best bets are based on complex simulations and wagering expertise to bring you the best possible plays every day of the year.

While the Bengals are more likely to win the game, according to DimersBOT, betting on the Dolphins moneyline is the best option due to the 2.3% edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the betting odds currently available.

Taking advantage of the edges seen on Dimers.com is pivotal to being a profitable sports bettor in the long run.

Dolphins vs. Bengals Prediction

Dimers.com's predicted final score for Miami vs. Cincinnati at Paycor Stadium in Week 4 has the Bengals prevailing 25-22.

Click or tap on See Matchup to reveal more.

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Dimers has full betting coverage of this week's Dolphins-Bengals matchup in Week 4, including pregame predictions, computer picks, and live win probabilities.

Dolphins vs. Bengals Player Props

Who will score the first touchdown in Dolphins vs. Bengals? The data is in.

Featured below are the most likely first touchdown and most likely anytime touchdown scorers for both the Dolphins and Bengals, as well as player stat projections.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you select the best prop bets for Thursday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Cincinnati's Joe Mixon is most likely to score the first touchdown in Dolphins vs. Bengals.

DimersBOT gives Mixon a 13.9% chance of scoring the first TD at Paycor Stadium, while the Bengals RB is a 56.6% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

Scroll down for the complete list of first and anytime TD scorer probabilities.

 

First Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Miami Dolphins

  • Tyreek Hill: 9.5% probability
  • Jaylen Waddle: 9.1% probability
  • Raheem Mostert: 7.3% probability
  • Chase Edmonds: 5.3% probability
  • Mike Gesicki: 3.8% probability

Cincinnati Bengals

  • Joe Mixon: 13.9% probability
  • Ja'Marr Chase: 10.4% probability
  • Tee Higgins: 9.5% probability
  • Tyler Boyd: 5.7% probability
  • Joe Burrow: 4.9% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Miami Dolphins

  • Tyreek Hill: 42.3% probability
  • Jaylen Waddle: 41.5% probability
  • Raheem Mostert: 35.4% probability
  • Chase Edmonds: 26.6% probability
  • Mike Gesicki: 19.1% probability

Cincinnati Bengals

  • Joe Mixon: 56.6% probability
  • Ja'Marr Chase: 45.1% probability
  • Tee Higgins: 43.2% probability
  • Tyler Boyd: 27.0% probability
  • Hayden Hurst: 24.5% probability

Dolphins-Bengals Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Dolphins' Tua Tagovailoa is projected for 253 passing yards, while the Bengals' Joe Burrow is expected to throw for a whopping 305 yards.

Dolphins Starting QB

  • Tua Tagovailoa: 253 projected yards

Bengals Starting QB

  • Joe Burrow: 305 projected yards

Dolphins Rushing

  • Raheem Mostert: 46 projected yards
  • Chase Edmonds: 31 projected yards
  • Tua Tagovailoa: 11 projected yards

Bengals Rushing

  • Joe Mixon: 71 projected yards
  • Samaje Perine: 20 projected yards
  • Joe Burrow: 13 projected yards

Dolphins Receiving

  • Tyreek Hill: 91 projected yards
  • Jaylen Waddle: 76 projected yards
  • Mike Gesicki: 30 projected yards
  • Cedrick Wilson: 28 projected yards
  • Chase Edmonds: 19 projected yards

Bengals Receiving

  • Ja'Marr Chase: 88 projected yards
  • Tee Higgins: 73 projected yards
  • Tyler Boyd: 44 projected yards
  • Hayden Hurst: 35 projected yards
  • Joe Mixon: 25 projected yards

Remember, DimersBOT updates often, so refresh this article for the latest betting analysis ahead of Dolphins vs. Bengals on Thursday September 29, 2022.

 

Dolphins vs. Bengals 2022

The NFL Week 4 matchup between the Bengals and Dolphins at Paycor Stadium is scheduled to start at 8:15PM ET.

  • Who: Miami Dolphins vs. Cincinnati Bengals
  • Date: Thursday September 29, 2022
  • Time: 8:15PM ET / 5:15PM PT
  • Venue: Paycor Stadium

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What other NFL games are on today?

Now you've got the 411 on Dolphins vs. Bengals, see the latest betting analysis for all upcoming NFL games in Dimers' NFL Bet Hub. There you can find probabilities and odds, as well as our best bets for each and every NFL matchup.

Want a pick for the Spread? You got it. How about the Over/Under? Yup, got that too. The Moneyline? Yes sir. And these picks are good, I mean REALLY good. Take a look now!

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Dimers Data

Dimers Data delivers cold-blooded analysis straight from thousands of simulations run by predictive models built by our in-house team of data scientists and analysts. No hunches. No guesswork. Just pure, data-led insight serious bettors rely on to stay ahead.

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