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Read Article Tigers vs. Mets prediction: Mets favored to win Thursday's MLB matchup [5/14/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Detroit Tigers vs New York Mets predictions for MLB Thursday.
The New York Mets and Detroit Tigers will meet in MLB action at Citi Field on Thursday, starting at 1:10 PM ET.
The Mets will start Nolan McLean (1-2, 2.78 ERA), while the Tigers will counter with Keider Montero (2-2, 3.18 ERA).
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven MLB model predicts the Mets as the most likely winner of the Tigers vs. Mets game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Thursday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Tigers vs. Mets prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Thursday's MLB matchup between the Tigers and Mets, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Mets a 59% chance of defeating the Tigers.
According to our model, the Tigers (+1.5) have a 60% chance of covering the run line, while the 7-run over/under has a 56% chance of going over.
Tigers vs. Mets odds [5/14/2026]
We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Tigers | Mets |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | +1.5 (-166) | -1.5 (+145) |
| Moneyline | +138 | -157 |
| Total | o7 (-120) | u7 (+100) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Tigers vs. Mets picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Mets -1.5 | +145 |
| Moneyline | Tigers | +138 |
| Total | Over 7 | -120 |
According to our best MLB bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 7 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Tigers vs. Mets game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's MLB game between the Mets and Tigers at Citi Field is scheduled to commence at 1:10 PM ET.
- Who: Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets
- Date: Thursday, May 14, 2026
- Time: 1:10 PM ET/10:10AM PT
- Venue: Citi Field
Conclusion
We predict the Mets, with a 59% win probability, will likely beat the Tigers in Thursday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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