Detroit Lions vs. Minnesota Vikings Prediction, Odds, NFL Picks - Week 16 [2023]

Detroit Lions vs. Minnesota Vikings Prediction, Odds, NFL Picks - Week 16 [2023]

The Minnesota Vikings will face the Detroit Lions in NFL Week 16 action at U.S. Bank Stadium on Sunday, beginning at 1:00PM ET.'s in-depth betting preview for this week's Lions vs. Vikings matchup includes the latest betting odds, as well as our predictions and picks for the game.

Lions vs. Vikings Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread

We have used trusted machine learning and statistical analysis to simulate the result of Sunday's NFL game between the Lions and Vikings 10,000 times, in line with our coverage of NFL predictions.

Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Lions a 62% chance of defeating the Vikings in Week 16 of the NFL season, and our predicted final score has the Lions winning 25-22.

According to our model, the Lions (-3) have a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the 47.5-point Over/Under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

This Detroit vs. Minnesota betting preview is presented by Bet365, which has a great Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets offer for new customers.

Lions vs. Vikings Odds

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Lions Vikings
Spread -3 (+100) +3 (-130)
Moneyline -142 +125
Total o47.5 (-110) u47.5 (-104)
  • The Vikings are listed as +3 underdogs versus the Lions, with -130 at BetMGM Sportsbook the best odds currently available.
  • For the favored Lions (-3) to cover the spread, BetMGM also has the best odds currently on offer at +100.
  • BetMGM currently has the best moneyline odds for the Vikings at +125. That means you can bet $100 to profit $125, earning a total payout of $225, if they win.
  • Elsewhere, DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Lions at -142, where you can risk $142 to win $100 for a total payout of $242 if they come out on top.
  • The Over/Under for total points scored is set at 47.5 with BetMGM, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -110, while FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best odds for the Under at -104.

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

As always, make sure you check the sports betting sites you can bet with in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.

Lions vs. Vikings Picks

By comparing our predictions to the odds listed above, we have determined the best betting picks to make on this game:

Bet Type Our Pick Best Odds
Spread Lions -3 +100 πŸ”₯
Moneyline Lions -142
Total Under 47.5 -104


When you see a πŸ”₯, you know you've found one of Dimers' best free picks today across any sport.

Our NFL best bets are based on world-class simulations and gambling expertise to bring you the best possible plays every week of the season.

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Lions vs. Vikings TD Scorers

Who will score the first touchdown in Lions vs. Vikings?

According to our model, Detroit's David Montgomery is most likely to score the first TD in Lions vs. Vikings.

Our projections give Montgomery an 11.4% chance of scoring the first TD at U.S. Bank Stadium, while the Lions RB is a 47.7% chance of registering an anytime touchdown.

First Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Detroit Lions

Player First TD Probability
David Montgomery 11.4%
Jahmyr Gibbs 11.4%
Amon-Ra St. Brown 7.9%
Sam LaPorta 7.1%
Jameson Williams 4.4%

Minnesota Vikings

Player First TD Probability
Ty Chandler 10.0%
Justin Jefferson 9.7%
T.J. Hockenson 7.9%
Jordan Addison 7.5%
Alexander Mattison 5.4%

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Detroit Lions

Player Anytime TD Probability
Jahmyr Gibbs 48.3%
David Montgomery 47.7%
Amon-Ra St. Brown 36.2%
Sam LaPorta 33.1%
Jameson Williams 22.0%

Minnesota Vikings

Player Anytime TD Probability
Ty Chandler 44.7%
Justin Jefferson 41.6%
T.J. Hockenson 37.5%
Jordan Addison 34.8%
Alexander Mattison 25.9%

Lions vs Vikings Player Props

Here, you will find detailed projections for all of the key offensive players from the Lions and Vikings, including passing, rushing and receiving yards.

Lions vs. Vikings Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Lions' Jared Goff is projected to have a big game with 287 passing yards. The Vikings' Nick Mullens is expected to throw for a whopping 268 yards.

Player Proj. Pass Yards
Jared Goff (DET) 287 yds
Nick Mullens (MIN) 268 yds

Lions Rushing

Player Proj. Rush Yards
David Montgomery 58 yds
Jahmyr Gibbs 44 yds
Jared Goff 7 yds

Vikings Rushing

Player Proj. Rush Yards
Ty Chandler 63 yds
Alexander Mattison 30 yds
Nick Mullens 6 yds

Lions Receiving

Player Proj. Rec. Yards
Amon-Ra St. Brown 77 yds
Sam LaPorta 49 yds
Josh Reynolds 30 yds
Jahmyr Gibbs 26 yds
Kalif Raymond 23 yds

Vikings Receiving

Player Proj. Rec. Yards
Justin Jefferson 96 yds
Jordan Addison 54 yds
T.J. Hockenson 52 yds
K.J. Osborn 21 yds
Ty Chandler 18 yds

Remember, our model updates often, so keep checking this page for any changes to our betting analysis ahead of the Lions vs. Vikings on Sunday December 24, 2023.

Lions vs. Vikings Game Information

The NFL Week 16 action between the Vikings and Lions at U.S. Bank Stadium is scheduled to begin at 1:00PM ET.


Our full coverage of Lions vs. Vikings includes pregame predictions, betting picks, and live win probabilities.

How to Bet on Lions vs. Vikings

Looking to join an online sportsbook and start betting on the NFL? Check out the top sportsbook sign-up offers in your state, including Bet365, where you get $150 in bonus bets for signing up and bettting $5 on Detroit vs. Minnesota.


This preview article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on Lions vs. Vikings Week 14 matchup, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control are performed to ensure the content meets our editorial guidelines.

Dimers' picks are made thanks to 10,000 simulations per game, using reliable and up-to-date data sources and analytical methods. While these Lions vs. Vikings predictions can help you make informed decisions, it's important that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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More on NFL

Stay up-to-date with the latest NFL betting news and our data-led NFL picks and parlays all season long. Plus, our Super Bowl odds give you the latest predictions and the best available odds on the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC, and each division.

Ryan Leaver
Senior Sports and Sports Betting Editor

Ryan Leaver has long been entrenched in the world of sports and sports betting, now specializing in the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. His passion shines through in his detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles for both the NBA and NFL, along with his sharp prop bets for college football and insightful best bets for college basketball. Ryan’s expertise also extends to soccer, where he frequently offers practical betting tips and highlights the bets of the day. 

Known for his keen eye for valuable betting promos, Ryan adeptly guides bettors toward opportunities that enhance their wagering experiences. Collaborating often with DimersBOT, his articles are meticulously researched and offer savvy betting advice, making him a trusted source for sports bettors.

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