Detroit Lions vs. Dallas Cowboys Prediction, Odds, NFL Picks - Week 17 [2023]

Detroit Lions vs. Dallas Cowboys Prediction, Odds, NFL Picks - Week 17 [2023]

The Dallas Cowboys will square off with the Detroit Lions in NFL Week 17 action at AT&T Stadium on Saturday, starting at 8:15PM ET.'s full betting preview for Saturday's Lions vs. Cowboys matchup includes the latest betting odds, as well as our predictions and picks for the game.

Lions vs. Cowboys Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread

We have used trusted machine learning and statistics to simulate the result of Saturday's NFL matchup between the Lions and Cowboys 10,000 times, in keeping with our coverage of NFL picks.

Our famous predictive analytics model currently gives the Cowboys a 64% chance of beating the Lions in Week 17 of the NFL season, and our predicted final score has the Cowboys winning 28-23.

According to our model, the Lions (+5.5) have a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the Over/Under total of 52.5 points has a 51% chance of going under.

Today's Detroit vs. Dallas betting preview is sponsored by Bet365, which has a Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets offer for new customers.

Lions vs. Cowboys Odds

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Lions Cowboys
Spread +5.5 (-108) -5.5 (-110)
Moneyline +200 -230
Total o52.5 (-110) u52.5 (-110)
  • The Cowboys are -5.5 favorites versus the Lions, with -110 at BetMGM Sportsbook the best odds currently available.
  • For the underdog Lions (+5.5) to cover the spread, DraftKings Sportsbook has the best odds currently on offer at -108.
  • FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Cowboys at -230. That means you can risk $230 to win $100 for a total payout of $330 if they get the W.
  • Elsewhere, BetMGM currently has the best moneyline odds for the Lions at +200, where you can bet $100 to profit $200, earning a total payout of $300 if they win.
  • The Over/Under is set at 52.5 with BetMGM, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -110, as well as the best odds for the Under at -110.

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

As always, make sure you check all of the online sportsbooks available in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.

Lions vs. Cowboys Picks

By comparing our predictions to the odds listed above, we have identified the best betting picks for this game:

Bet Type Our Pick Best Odds
Spread Lions +5.5 -108
Moneyline Lions +200
Total Under 52.5 -110


While the Cowboys are more likely to win the game, betting on the Lions moneyline is the best option due to the 2.2% edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the betting odds currently available.

Taking advantage of the edges published on Dimers is crucial to being a profitable sports bettor in the long run.

Our NFL best bets are based on complex simulations and gambling expertise to serve you the best possible plays every week of the season.

Calling all football fans! If you are yet to sign up with DraftKings Sportsbook, today is the day! Click here to sign up, and then place a $5 wager on Detroit vs. Dallas to receive $150 in bonus bets, win or lose!

Lions vs. Cowboys TD Scorers

Who will score an anytime touchdown in Lions vs. Cowboys?

According to our model, Dallas' Tony Pollard is most likely to score the first TD in Lions vs. Cowboys.

Our projections give Pollard a 14.4% chance of getting in for six first at AT&T Stadium, while the Cowboys RB is a 59.9% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

First Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Detroit Lions

Player First TD Probability
David Montgomery 9.7%
Jahmyr Gibbs 9.4%
Amon-Ra St. Brown 7.0%
Sam LaPorta 6.4%
Jameson Williams 4.2%

Dallas Cowboys

Player First TD Probability
Tony Pollard 14.4%
CeeDee Lamb 13.8%
Jake Ferguson 8.3%
Brandin Cooks 5.8%
Dak Prescott 4.8%

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Detroit Lions

Player Anytime TD Probability
David Montgomery 46.9%
Jahmyr Gibbs 46.6%
Amon-Ra St. Brown 35.8%
Sam LaPorta 31.9%
Jameson Williams 22.2%

Dallas Cowboys

Player Anytime TD Probability
CeeDee Lamb 60.4%
Tony Pollard 59.9%
Jake Ferguson 41.8%
Brandin Cooks 29.9%
Dak Prescott 25.5%

Lions vs Cowboys Player Props

Here, you will find detailed projections for all of the key offensive players from the Lions and Cowboys, including passing, rushing and receiving yards.

Lions vs. Cowboys Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Lions' Jared Goff is projected for 255 passing yards, while the Cowboys' Dak Prescott is expected to throw for a whopping 269 yards.

Player Proj. Pass Yards
Jared Goff (DET) 255 yds
Dak Prescott (DAL) 269 yds

Lions Rushing

Player Proj. Rush Yards
David Montgomery 71 yds
Jahmyr Gibbs 49 yds
Jared Goff 7 yds

Cowboys Rushing

Player Proj. Rush Yards
Tony Pollard 60 yds
Dak Prescott 13 yds
CeeDee Lamb 7 yds

Lions Receiving

Player Proj. Rec. Yards
Amon-Ra St. Brown 72 yds
Sam LaPorta 49 yds
Josh Reynolds 29 yds
Jahmyr Gibbs 28 yds
Kalif Raymond 23 yds

Cowboys Receiving

Player Proj. Rec. Yards
CeeDee Lamb 85 yds
Brandin Cooks 49 yds
Jake Ferguson 42 yds
Tony Pollard 26 yds
Michael Gallup 18 yds

Remember, our model updates often, so check this page for the latest betting insights before the Lions vs. Cowboys on Saturday December 30, 2023.

Lions vs. Cowboys Game Information

The NFL Week 17 game between the Cowboys and Lions at AT&T Stadium is scheduled to start at 8:15PM ET.


Our full coverage of Lions vs. Cowboys includes pregame predictions, betting picks, and live updates.

How to Bet on Lions vs. Cowboys

Looking to join an online sportsbook and start betting on the NFL now? Check out the best sports betting promos in your state, including Bet365, where you get $150 in bonus bets for signing up and bettting $5 on Detroit vs. Dallas.


This preview article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on Lions vs. Cowboys Week 14 game, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control are performed to ensure the content meets our editorial standards.

Dimers' predictions are made thanks to 10,000 simulations per game, using reliable and up-to-date data sources and analytical methods. While these Lions vs. Cowboys picks can help you make informed decisions, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and manage your bankroll effectively.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that leads to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may get a referral fee at no additional cost to you.

More on NFL

Stay updated with the latest NFL news and our analytics-driven NFL picks and parlays all season long. Plus, our Super Bowl odds give you the latest projections and the best available odds on the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC, and each division.

Ryan Leaver
Senior Sports and Sports Betting Editor

Ryan Leaver has long been entrenched in the world of sports and sports betting, now specializing in the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. His passion shines through in his detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles for both the NBA and NFL, along with his sharp prop bets for college football and insightful best bets for college basketball. Ryan’s expertise also extends to soccer, where he frequently offers practical betting tips and highlights the bets of the day. 

Known for his keen eye for valuable betting promos, Ryan adeptly guides bettors toward opportunities that enhance their wagering experiences. Collaborating often with DimersBOT, his articles are meticulously researched and offer savvy betting advice, making him a trusted source for sports bettors.

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