Wings vs. Liberty prediction: Paige Bueckers projected to score 18 points in Sunday's WNBA game [5/24/2026]

The New York Liberty will face the Dallas Wings in WNBA action at Barclays Center on Sunday, commencing at 3:30 PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven WNBA model predicts the Liberty as the most likely winner of the Wings vs. Liberty game.

The Liberty, led by Breanna Stewart, Satou Sabally and Sabrina Ionescu, will face off against the Wings, whose lineup includes Paige Bueckers, Arike Ogunbowale and Azzi Fudd.

Bueckers, the young phenom making headlines with the Wings, is expected to deliver a standout performance with a projected 18 points and 1 threes.

This article offers a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.

Wings vs. Liberty prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's WNBA matchup between the Wings and Liberty, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Liberty a 78% chance of defeating the Wings.

According to our model, the Liberty (-7.5) have a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the 176.5-point over/under has a 63% chance of staying under.

Wings vs. Liberty odds

We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Wings	Liberty
Spread	+7.5 (-108)	-7.5 (-110)
Moneyline	+260	-290
Total	o176.5 (-110)	u176.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Wings vs. Liberty picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Liberty -7.5	-110
Moneyline	Liberty	-290
Total	Under 176.5	-110

According to our best WNBA bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 176.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Wings vs. Liberty player props

WNBA prop bets are a popular way to wager on Sunday's Wings vs. Liberty matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Barclays Center.

Paige Bueckers is expected to lead the Wings with 18 points, 4 rebounds and 5 assists, while Breanna Stewart is projected to have 21 points, 8 rebounds and 4 assists for the Liberty.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's WNBA first basket picks.

Wings prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Wings are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Paige Bueckers	18	4	5	1	35
A. Ogunbowale	15	3	4	2	28
Azzi Fudd	10	2	2	2	20
Jessica Shepard	10	9	5	0	31
Alanna Smith	9	5	3	1	27

Liberty prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Liberty:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Breanna Stewart	21	8	4	1	44
Satou Sabally	19	7	3	2	38
Sabrina Ionescu	18	5	6	2	40
Jonquel Jones	15	9	3	2	36
Betnijah Laney	7	2	2	1	15

Wings vs. Liberty game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's action between the Liberty and Wings at Barclays Center is scheduled to begin at 3:30 PM ET.

• Who: Dallas Wings vs. New York Liberty
• Date: Sunday, May 24, 2026
• Time: 3:30 PM ET/12:30PM PT
• Venue: Barclays Center

Conclusion

We predict the Liberty, with a 78% win probability, will likely beat the Wings in Sunday's WNBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.