Dallas Cowboys vs. Miami Dolphins Prediction, Odds, NFL Picks - Week 16 [2023]

Dallas Cowboys vs. Miami Dolphins Prediction, Odds, NFL Picks - Week 16 [2023]

NFL Week 16 action continues on Sunday at 4:25PM ET as the Dallas Cowboys square off with the Miami Dolphins at Hard Rock Stadium.

Dimers.com's comprehensive betting preview for Sunday's Cowboys vs. Dolphins matchup includes the latest betting odds, as well as our predictions and picks for the game.

Cowboys vs. Dolphins Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread

We have used advanced machine learning and data to simulate the result of Sunday's NFL game between the Cowboys and Dolphins 10,000 times, in keeping with our coverage of NFL predictions.

Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Dolphins a 57% chance of beating the Cowboys in Week 16 of the NFL season, and our predicted final score has the Dolphins winning 24-23.

According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and both the Cowboys and Dolphins have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the Over/Under total of 48.5 points also has a 55% chance of going under.

Today's Dallas vs. Miami betting preview is presented by Bet365, which has an outstanding Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets offer for new customers.

Cowboys vs. Dolphins Odds

We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Cowboys Dolphins
Spread +1.5 (-105) -1.5 (-110)
Moneyline +116 -120
Total o48.5 (-110) u48.5 (+100)
  • The Dolphins are listed as -1.5 favorites versus the Cowboys, with -110 at BetMGM Sportsbook the best odds currently available.
  • For the underdog Cowboys (+1.5) to cover the spread, FanDuel Sportsbook has the best odds currently on the market at -105.
  • BetMGM currently has the best moneyline odds for the Dolphins at -120. That means you can risk $120 to win $100 for a total payout of $220 if they get the W.
  • Meanwhile, FanDuel currently has the best moneyline odds for the Cowboys at +116, where you can bet $100 to profit $116, earning a total payout of $216 if they win.
  • The Over/Under for total points scored sits at 48.5 with BetMGM, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -110, while DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best odds for the Under at +100.

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

As always, check out the sports betting sites you have access to in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.

Cowboys vs. Dolphins Picks

By comparing our predictions to the odds listed above, we have identified the best betting picks to make on this game:

Bet Type Our Pick Best Odds
Spread Cowboys +1.5 -105
Moneyline Dolphins -120
Total Under 48.5 +100


If you see a 🔥, you know you've found one of Dimers' best bets of the day across any sport.

Dimers' NFL best bets are based on detailed modeling and betting expertise to bring you the best possible plays every time.

Cowboys vs. Dolphins TD Scorers

Who will score the first touchdown in Cowboys vs. Dolphins?

According to our model, Miami's Raheem Mostert is most likely to score the first TD in Cowboys vs. Dolphins.

Our projections give Mostert a 12.2% chance of scoring the first TD at Hard Rock Stadium, while the Dolphins RB is a 51.8% chance of reaching the end zone at any point during the game.

First Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Dallas Cowboys

Player First TD Probability
Tony Pollard 12.2%
CeeDee Lamb 12.2%
Jake Ferguson 7.0%
Brandin Cooks 4.4%
Dak Prescott 3.9%

Miami Dolphins

Player First TD Probability
Raheem Mostert 12.2%
Tyreek Hill 10.0%
De'Von Achane 9.0%
Jaylen Waddle 7.9%
Durham Smythe 3.8%

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Dallas Cowboys

Player Anytime TD Probability
Tony Pollard 53.1%
CeeDee Lamb 51.6%
Jake Ferguson 32.2%
Brandin Cooks 22.7%
Dak Prescott 19.9%

Miami Dolphins

Player Anytime TD Probability
Raheem Mostert 51.8%
Tyreek Hill 45.3%
De'Von Achane 41.0%
Jaylen Waddle 36.8%
Durham Smythe 18.8%

Cowboys vs Dolphins Player Props

Here, you will find detailed projections for all of the key offensive players from the Cowboys and Dolphins, including passing, rushing and receiving yards.

Cowboys vs. Dolphins Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Cowboys' Dak Prescott is projected for 260 passing yards. The Dolphins' Tua Tagovailoa is expected to throw for a whopping 282 yards.

Player Proj. Pass Yards
Dak Prescott (DAL) 260 yds
Tua Tagovailoa (MIA) 282 yds

Cowboys Rushing

Player Proj. Rush Yards
Tony Pollard 59 yds
Rico Dowdle 16 yds
Dak Prescott 13 yds

Dolphins Rushing

Player Proj. Rush Yards
Raheem Mostert 70 yds
De'Von Achane 37 yds
Jeff Wilson 10 yds

Cowboys Receiving

Player Proj. Rec. Yards
CeeDee Lamb 85 yds
Brandin Cooks 45 yds
Jake Ferguson 39 yds
Tony Pollard 24 yds
Jalen Tolbert 18 yds

Dolphins Receiving

Player Proj. Rec. Yards
Tyreek Hill 82 yds
Jaylen Waddle 68 yds
Cedrick Wilson 26 yds
Durham Smythe 21 yds
De'Von Achane 18 yds

Remember, our model updates regularly, so keep checking this article for the latest betting insights ahead of the Cowboys vs. Dolphins on Sunday December 24, 2023.

Cowboys vs. Dolphins Game Information

The NFL Week 16 action between the Dolphins and Cowboys at Hard Rock Stadium is scheduled to begin at 4:25PM ET.


Our full betting coverage of Cowboys vs. Dolphins includes pregame predictions, betting picks, and live scores.

How to Bet on Cowboys vs. Dolphins

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This preview article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on Cowboys vs. Dolphins Week 14 game, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control are performed to ensure the content meets our editorial guidelines.

Dimers' predictions are based on 10,000 simulations per game, using reliable and up-to-date data sources and analytical methods. While our Cowboys vs. Dolphins picks can help you make informed decisions, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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More on NFL

Stay up-to-date with the latest NFL betting news and our data-led NFL picks and parlays all season long. Plus, our Super Bowl odds give you the most up-to-date numbers and the best available odds on the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC, and each division.

Ryan Leaver
Senior Sports and Sports Betting Editor

Ryan Leaver has long been entrenched in the world of sports and sports betting, now specializing in the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. His passion shines through in his detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles for both the NBA and NFL, along with his sharp prop bets for college football and insightful best bets for college basketball. Ryan’s expertise also extends to soccer, where he frequently offers practical betting tips and highlights the bets of the day. 

Known for his keen eye for valuable betting promos, Ryan adeptly guides bettors toward opportunities that enhance their wagering experiences. Collaborating often with DimersBOT, his articles are meticulously researched and offer savvy betting advice, making him a trusted source for sports bettors.

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