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Rockies vs. Pirates prediction: Why Pittsburgh is favored to win Tuesday's MLB matchup [5/12/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Colorado Rockies vs Pittsburgh Pirates predictions for MLB Tuesday.
The Pittsburgh Pirates will square off with the Colorado Rockies in MLB action at PNC Park on Tuesday, beginning at 6:40 PM ET.
The Pirates will start Paul Skenes (5-2, 2.36 ERA), while the Rockies have opted for Michael Lorenzen (2-4, 6.92 ERA).
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven MLB model projects the Pirates as the most likely winner of the Rockies vs. Pirates game.
This article offers further insights into Tuesday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Rockies vs. Pirates prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday's MLB game between the Rockies and Pirates, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Pirates a 73% chance of defeating the Rockies.
According to our model, the Pirates (-1.5) have a 56% chance of covering the run line, while the 7.5-run over/under has a 54% chance of going over.
Rockies vs. Pirates odds [5/12/2026]
We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Rockies | Pirates |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | +1.5 (+123) | -1.5 (-134) |
| Moneyline | +279 | -325 |
| Total | o7.5 (-110) | u7.5 (-108) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Rockies vs. Pirates picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Rockies +1.5 | +123 |
| Moneyline | Rockies | +279 |
| Total | Over 7.5 | -110 |
According to our best MLB bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 7.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Rockies vs. Pirates game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's MLB action between the Pirates and Rockies at PNC Park is scheduled to begin at 6:40 PM ET.
- Who: Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
- Date: Tuesday, May 12, 2026
- Time: 6:40 PM ET/3:40PM PT
- Venue: PNC Park
Conclusion
We predict the Pirates, with a 73% win probability, will likely beat the Rockies in Tuesday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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