Guardians vs. Tigers prediction: Detroit favored to win Wednesday's MLB matchup [5/20/2026]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers predictions for MLB Wednesday.

Cleveland Guardians-Detroit Tigers Predictions and Game Preview.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers MLB prediction for Wednesday, May 20, 2026.

The Detroit Tigers and Cleveland Guardians are scheduled to meet in MLB action at Comerica Park on Wednesday, starting at 6:40 PM ET.

The Tigers will start Drew Anderson (1-1, 4.67 ERA), pitting him against Tanner Bibee (0-6, 4.15 ERA) for the Guardians.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven MLB model gives the Tigers a slight edge with a 51% win probability over the Guardians.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Wednesday's Guardians vs. Tigers matchup, including best bets and picks.

Guardians vs. Tigers prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's MLB matchup between the Guardians and Tigers, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Tigers a 51% chance of defeating the Guardians.

According to our model, the Tigers (+1.5) have a 64% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 7.5 runs has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

 

Guardians vs. Tigers odds [5/20/2026]

We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Guardians Tigers
Run Line -1.5 (+144) +1.5 (-170)
Moneyline -115 +104
Total o7.5 (+100) u7.5 (-120)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Guardians vs. Tigers picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Run Line Tigers +1.5 -170
Moneyline Tigers +104
Total Over 7.5 +100

According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Tigers to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

 

Guardians vs. Tigers game-day updates and essential details

Wednesday's MLB game between the Tigers and Guardians at Comerica Park is scheduled to start at 6:40 PM ET.

Conclusion

We predict the Tigers, with a 51% win probability, will likely beat the Guardians in Wednesday's MLB matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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