Citadel vs. Richmond prediction: Why Richmond is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [12/20/2025]

Richmond and Citadel will lock horns in men's college basketball action at Robins Center on Saturday, starting at 6:00 PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced college basketball model predicts Richmond as the most likely winner of the Citadel vs. Richmond game.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Citadel vs. Richmond prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's NCAA basketball game between Citadel and Richmond 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives Richmond a 96% chance of beating Citadel. Our predicted final score has Richmond winning 84-63.

According to our model, the bookies have got it right, and Citadel and Richmond each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 148.5 points has a 52% chance of staying under.

Citadel vs. Richmond odds

We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Citadel vs. Richmond picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below: