May 26, 2026
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Read Article Reds vs. Mets prediction: Cincinnati favored to win Tuesday's MLB matchup [5/26/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Cincinnati Reds vs New York Mets predictions for MLB Tuesday.
The New York Mets will face the Cincinnati Reds, in what is expected to be a close MLB game, at Citi Field on Tuesday, starting at 7:10 PM ET.
David Peterson (3-4, 5.03 ERA) will be on the bump for the Mets, up against Chase Burns (6-1, 1.83 ERA) for the Reds.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced MLB model gives the Reds a slight edge with a 51% win probability over the Mets.
This article offers further insights into Tuesday's Reds vs. Mets matchup, including best bets and picks.
Reds vs. Mets prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's MLB game between the Reds and Mets, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Reds a 51% chance of defeating the Mets.
According to our model, the Mets (+1.5) have a 63% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 7.5 runs has a 53% chance of going over.
Reds vs. Mets odds [5/26/2026]
We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Reds | Mets |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | -1.5 (+148) | +1.5 (-166) |
| Moneyline | -120 | +105 |
| Total | o7.5 (-104) | u7.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Reds vs. Mets picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Mets +1.5 | -166 |
| Moneyline | Mets | +105 |
| Total | Over 7.5 | -104 |
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 7.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Reds vs. Mets game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's MLB matchup between the Mets and Reds at Citi Field is scheduled to start at 7:10 PM ET.
- Who: Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets
- Date: Tuesday, May 26, 2026
- Time: 7:10 PM ET/4:10PM PT
- Venue: Citi Field
Conclusion
We predict the Reds, with a 51% win probability, will likely beat the Mets in Tuesday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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