Cincinnati Bengals vs. Kansas City Chiefs Prediction, Odds, NFL Picks - Week 17 [2023]

Cincinnati Bengals vs. Kansas City Chiefs Prediction, Odds, NFL Picks - Week 17 [2023]

The Kansas City Chiefs and Cincinnati Bengals will lock horns in Week 17 of the NFL season at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on Sunday, with kickoff at 4:25PM ET.'s full betting preview for Sunday's Bengals vs. Chiefs matchup includes the latest betting odds, as well as our predictions and picks for the game.

Bengals vs. Chiefs Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread

We have used trusted machine learning and statistics to simulate the result of Sunday's NFL game between the Bengals and Chiefs 10,000 times, in line with our coverage of NFL picks.

Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Chiefs a 74% chance of beating the Bengals in Week 17 of the NFL season, and our predicted final score has the Chiefs winning 25-18.

According to our model, the Bengals (+7) have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the Over/Under total of 43.5 points has a 52% chance of going over.

This Cincinnati vs. Kansas City betting preview is brought to you by Bet365, which has a tasty Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets promo for new users.

Bengals vs. Chiefs Odds

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Bengals Chiefs
Spread +7 (-110) -7 (-105)
Moneyline +270 -310
Total o43.5 (-115) u43.5 (-105)
  • The Chiefs are listed as -7 favorites against the Bengals, with -105 at BetMGM Sportsbook the best odds currently available.
  • For the underdog Bengals (+7) to cover the spread, FanDuel Sportsbook has the best odds currently on offer at -110.
  • DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Chiefs at -310, which means you can risk $310 to win $100 for a total payout of $410 if they get the W.
  • On the other hand, FanDuel currently has the best moneyline odds for the Bengals at +270, where you can put down $100 to profit $270, earning a total payout of $370 if they win.
  • The Over/Under for total points scored is set at 43.5 with FanDuel, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -115, as well as the best odds for the Under at -105.

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

As always, check out all the online sportsbooks available in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.

Bengals vs. Chiefs Picks

By comparing our predictions to the odds listed above, we have identified the best betting picks to place on this game:

Bet Type Our Pick Best Odds
Spread Bengals +7 -110
Moneyline Chiefs -310
Total Over 43.5 -115


Our NFL best bets are based on complex simulations and betting intelligence to bring you the best possible plays every week of the season.

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Bengals vs. Chiefs TD Scorers

Who will score the first touchdown in Bengals vs. Chiefs?

According to our model, Kansas City's Isiah Pacheco is most likely to score the first TD in Bengals vs. Chiefs.

Our projections give Pacheco an 11.5% chance of scoring the first TD at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, while the Chiefs RB is a 46.1% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

First Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Cincinnati Bengals

Player First TD Probability
Joe Mixon 7.9%
Ja'Marr Chase 6.2%
Tee Higgins 6.2%
Chase Brown 5.4%
Tyler Boyd 4.5%

Kansas City Chiefs

Player First TD Probability
Isiah Pacheco 11.5%
Travis Kelce 10.1%
Rashee Rice 8.8%
Clyde Edwards-Helaire 5.3%
Kadarius Toney 5.3%

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Cincinnati Bengals

Player Anytime TD Probability
Joe Mixon 34.2%
Ja'Marr Chase 28.8%
Tee Higgins 27.9%
Chase Brown 24.2%
Tyler Boyd 20.5%

Kansas City Chiefs

Player Anytime TD Probability
Isiah Pacheco 46.1%
Travis Kelce 42.1%
Rashee Rice 37.7%
Kadarius Toney 23.8%
Clyde Edwards-Helaire 23.8%

Bengals vs Chiefs Player Props

Here, you will find detailed projections for all of the key offensive players from the Bengals and Chiefs, including passing, rushing and receiving yards.

Bengals vs. Chiefs Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Bengals' Jake Browning is projected for 198 passing yards. The Chiefs' Patrick Mahomes is expected to throw for a whopping 261 yards.

Player Proj. Pass Yards
Jake Browning (CIN) 198 yds
Patrick Mahomes (KC) 261 yds

Bengals Rushing

Player Proj. Rush Yards
Joe Mixon 59 yds
Chase Brown 31 yds
Jake Browning 16 yds

Chiefs Rushing

Player Proj. Rush Yards
Isiah Pacheco 64 yds
Patrick Mahomes 24 yds
Clyde Edwards-Helaire 17 yds

Bengals Receiving

Player Proj. Rec. Yards
Ja'Marr Chase 67 yds
Tyler Boyd 45 yds
Tee Higgins 45 yds
Tanner Hudson 30 yds
Joe Mixon 16 yds

Chiefs Receiving

Player Proj. Rec. Yards
Travis Kelce 69 yds
Rashee Rice 59 yds
Justin Watson 27 yds
Marquez Valdes-Scantling 25 yds
Richie James 24 yds

Remember, our model updates often, so check this article for any changes to our betting analysis before the Bengals vs. Chiefs on Sunday December 31, 2023.

Bengals vs. Chiefs Game Information

The NFL Week 17 action between the Chiefs and Bengals at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium is scheduled to start at 4:25PM ET.


Our full betting coverage of Bengals vs. Chiefs includes pregame predictions, betting picks, and live win probabilities.

How to Bet on Bengals vs. Chiefs

Want to join an online sportsbook and start betting on the NFL? We've listed the best available welcome offers in every legal betting state, including Bet365, where you get $150 in bonus bets for signing up and bettting $5 on Cincinnati vs. Kansas City.


This preview article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on Bengals vs. Chiefs Week 14 matchup, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control are performed to ensure the content meets our editorial guidelines.

Dimers' predictions are based on 10,000 simulations per game, using reliable and up-to-date data sources and analytical methods. While these Bengals vs. Chiefs picks can help you make informed decisions, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial arrangement with (such as a sportsbook), we may earn a referral fee at no additional cost to you.

More on NFL

Stay well-informed with the latest NFL betting news and our data-led NFL picks and parlays all season long. Plus, our Super Bowl odds give you the latest numbers and the best available odds on the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC, and each division.

Ryan Leaver
Senior Sports and Sports Betting Editor

Ryan Leaver is a seasoned sports betting expert specializing in NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer, offering detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.

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