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Chiefs vs. Jets Week 4 Prediction and Odds - October 1, 2023
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dimers Data
The New York Jets and Kansas City Chiefs will meet in Week 4 of the NFL season at MetLife Stadium on Sunday, with kickoff at 8:20PM ET.
Dimers' top betting picks for Chiefs vs. Jets, as well as game predictions, betting odds and touchdown scorer probabilities, are detailed below.
This Kansas City vs. NY Jets betting preview is brought to you by Bet365, which has a tasty Bet $1, Get $365 in Bonus Bets offer for new customers.
Who Will Win: Chiefs vs. Jets
Using cutting-edge computer power and data, Dimers.com has simulated Sunday's Chiefs-Jets NFL game 10,000 times.
Dimers' leading predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, currently gives the Chiefs an 81% chance of defeating the Jets in Week 4 of the NFL season.
More: Betting Predictions for Chiefs vs. Jets
Chiefs vs. Jets Odds
- Spread: Jets +7.5 (-105), Chiefs -7.5 (-110)
- Moneyline: Jets +370, Chiefs -390
- Total: Over/Under 41.5 (-110/-105)
The Jets are +7.5 underdogs against the Chiefs, with -105 at PointsBet the best odds currently available.
For the favored Chiefs (-7.5) to cover the spread, FanDuel Sportsbook has the best odds currently on offer at -110.
DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Jets at +370, which means you can bet $100 to profit $370, earning a total payout of $470, if they win.
On the other hand, FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Chiefs at -390, where you can risk $390 to win $100, for a total payout of $490, if they come out on top.
The Over/Under is set at 41.5 with PointsBet, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -110, while DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best odds for the Under at -105.
As always, check out the sportsbooks you can bet with in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.
According to DimersBOT, the Chiefs (-7.5) have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the Over/Under total of 41.5 points has a 52% chance of going Over.
More: Predictions for Every NFL Week 4 Matchup
Best Bets: Chiefs vs. Jets
- Spread: Chiefs -7.5 @ -110 via FanDuel Sportsbook (53% probability)
- Moneyline: Chiefs @ -390 via FanDuel Sportsbook (81% probability)
- Total: Over 41.5 @ -110 via PointsBet (52% probability)
Dimers' best bets are based on world-class simulations and wagering intelligence to serve you the best possible plays 24/7.
Chiefs vs. Jets Prediction
Dimers.com's predicted final score for Kansas City vs. NY Jets at MetLife Stadium in Week 4 has the Chiefs winning 25-16.
Click or tap on See Matchup to find out more.
Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 11:45PM, Oct 1
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Over / Under
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Dimers has full coverage of this week's Chiefs-Jets game in Week 4, including pregame predictions, top betting picks, and live win probabilities.
Chiefs vs. Jets Player Props
Who will score the first touchdown in Chiefs vs. Jets? The latest data is in.
Featured below are the most likely first touchdown and most likely anytime touchdown scorers for both the Chiefs and Jets, as well as player stat projections.
And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you choose the best prop picks for Sunday's game.
According to DimersBOT, Kansas City's Travis Kelce is most likely to score the first touchdown in Chiefs vs. Jets.
DimersBOT gives Kelce a 9.2% chance of scoring the first TD at MetLife Stadium, while the Chiefs TE is a 36.3% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for our complete list of first and anytime TD scorer probabilities, which provide a great avenue for you to use this DraftKings Sportsbook offer, which unlocks $200 in bonus bets from a $5 bet on any of the below players.
First Touchdown Scorer Probabilities
Kansas City Chiefs
- Travis Kelce: 9.2% probability
- Isiah Pacheco: 8.7% probability
- Kadarius Toney: 6.9% probability
- Skyy Moore: 5.7% probability
- Jerick McKinnon: 5.2% probability
New York Jets
- Breece Hall: 7.8% probability
- Garrett Wilson: 7.4% probability
- Dalvin Cook: 6.4% probability
- Allen Lazard: 4.4% probability
- Tyler Conklin: 3.7% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Probabilities
Kansas City Chiefs
- Travis Kelce: 36.3% probability
- Isiah Pacheco: 34.3% probability
- Kadarius Toney: 26.4% probability
- Skyy Moore: 23.8% probability
- Jerick McKinnon: 22.3% probability
New York Jets
- Breece Hall: 32.1% probability
- Garrett Wilson: 31.5% probability
- Dalvin Cook: 27.6% probability
- Allen Lazard: 19.6% probability
- Tyler Conklin: 16.8% probability
Chiefs-Jets Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Chiefs' Patrick Mahomes is projected to have a big game with 270 passing yards. The Jets' Zach Wilson is expected to throw for 209 yards.
Chiefs Starting QB
- Patrick Mahomes: 270 projected yards
Jets Starting QB
- Zach Wilson: 209 projected yards
Chiefs Rushing
- Isiah Pacheco: 59 projected yards
- Clyde Edwards-Helaire: 24 projected yards
- Patrick Mahomes: 24 projected yards
Jets Rushing
- Breece Hall: 55 projected yards
- Dalvin Cook: 30 projected yards
- Michael Carter: 10 projected yards
Chiefs Receiving
- Travis Kelce: 72 projected yards
- Skyy Moore: 41 projected yards
- Rashee Rice: 31 projected yards
- Kadarius Toney: 29 projected yards
- Jerick McKinnon: 28 projected yards
Jets Receiving
- Garrett Wilson: 61 projected yards
- Allen Lazard: 33 projected yards
- Tyler Conklin: 24 projected yards
- Breece Hall: 14 projected yards
- Randall Cobb: 13 projected yards
Don't forget, DimersBOT updates frequently, so check this page for any changes to our betting insights ahead of Chiefs vs. Jets on Sunday October 1, 2023.
NFL Predictions
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Chiefs vs. Jets 2023
The NFL Week 4 action between the Jets and Chiefs at MetLife Stadium is scheduled to start at 8:20PM ET.
- Who: Kansas City Chiefs vs. New York Jets
- Date: Sunday October 1, 2023
- Time: 8:20PM ET / 5:20PM PT
- Venue: MetLife Stadium
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Make Informed Sports Betting Decisions with Dimers
Dimers' picks and predictions are made after 10,000 simulations per game, using reliable and up-to-date data sources and analytical methods.
While these Chiefs vs. Jets predictions can help you make informed decisions, it's crucial that you only bet what you can afford to lose and manage your finances effectively.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Want More NFL Predictions Like This?
To get more NFL betting previews like you've just read for Chiefs vs. Jets, all you've gotta do is visit Dimers' NFL Betting News page. It's that easy – they're all there!
We use the power of predictive analytics to find edges in the markets so we can write the best NFL betting previews available. We do this by comparing our own probabilities against the sportsbooks' odds (aka Vegas odds) as soon as they go live.
So, get ahead of the game and beat the bookies today – check out our NFL picks and predictions.
In addition to our leading NFL predictions, we also feature the best NFL prop bets today, projecting passing yards, touchdowns, and more against the top odds available every day of the NFL season.
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Dimers Data Dimers Data delivers cold-blooded analysis straight from thousands of simulations run by predictive models built by our in-house team of data scientists and analysts. No hunches. No guesswork. Just pure, data-led insight serious bettors rely on to stay ahead.
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