Capitals vs. Lightning Prediction and Odds - Mar 30, 2023

The Tampa Bay Lightning take on the Washington Capitals in NHL action at Amalie Arena on Thursday, beginning at 7:00PM ET.

Dimers' top betting picks for Capitals vs. Lightning, as well as game predictions, betting odds and touchdown scorer probabilities, are detailed below.

Who will win Capitals vs. Lightning?

Based on advanced machine learning and data, Dimers.com has simulated Thursday's Capitals-Lightning NHL game 10,000 times.

Dimers' renowned predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, currently gives the Lightning a 62% chance of beating the Capitals.

More: Capitals vs. Lightning Simulated 10,000 Times

Capitals vs. Lightning Odds

• Puck Line: Lightning -1.5 (+125), Capitals +1.5 (-145)
• Moneyline: Lightning -205, Capitals +172
• Total: Over/Under 6 (-120/+100)

Puck Line, Moneyline and Over/Under

The Lightning are -1.5 favorites versus the Capitals, with +125 at DraftKings Sportsbook the best odds currently available.

For the underdog Capitals (+1.5) to cover the puck line, BetMGM has the best odds currently on offer at -145.

DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Lightning at -205, which means you can risk $205 to win $100, for a total payout of $305, if they get the W.

On the other hand, FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Capitals at +172, where you can bet $100 to profit $172, earning a total payout of $272, if they win.

The Over/Under sits at 6 with BetMGM, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -120, as well as the best odds for the Under at +100.

As always, make sure you check the sportsbooks you have access to in your state for the best NHL odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the Capitals (+1.5) are a 61% chance of covering the puck line, while the Over/Under total of 6 goals is a 52% chance of going Over.

More: Track Your Bets via Dimers' Bet Center

Best Bets for Capitals vs. Lightning

• Puck Line: Capitals +1.5 @ -145 via BetMGM (61% probability)
• Moneyline: Capitals @ +172 via FanDuel Sportsbook (1.5% edge)
• Total: Under 6 @ +100 via BetMGM

Our best bets are based on complex modeling and wagering intelligence to help you make better decisions with the legal sportsbooks in your state.

While the Lightning are more likely to win the game, according to DimersBOT, taking the Capitals moneyline is the best option due to the 1.5% edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the sportsbooks' odds currently on offer.

Taking advantage of the edges seen here at Dimers is pivotal to being profitable in the long run.

Furthermore, despite the Over being more likely to hit on this occasion, Under 6 is our best bet owing to the better odds (+100) that are available from BetMGM.

Capitals vs. Lightning Betting Guide

Click or tap on See Matchup for more.

Dimers has full betting coverage of Thursday's Capitals-Lightning matchup, including pregame predictions, free picks, and live scores.

Capitals vs. Lightning Player Props

Who will score the first goal in Capitals vs. Lightning? The latest data is in.

Listed below are the most likely first goal and most likely anytime goal scorers for both the Capitals and Lightning.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you choose the best prop bets for Thursday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Tampa Bay's Nikita Kucherov is most likely to score the first goal in Capitals vs. Lightning.

DimersBOT gives Kucherov an 8.2% chance of scoring the first goal at Amalie Arena, while the Lightning star is a 39.6% chance of registering an anytime goal.

Scroll down for our complete list of first and anytime goal scorer probabilities.

First Goal Scorer Probabilities

Washington Capitals

• Alex Ovechkin: 7.3% probability
• T.J. Oshie: 4.0% probability
• Dylan Strome: 3.9% probability
• Tom Wilson: 3.9% probability
• Anthony Mantha: 3.4% probability

Tampa Bay Lightning

• Nikita Kucherov: 8.2% probability
• Brayden Point: 8.0% probability
• Steven Stamkos: 7.3% probability
• Alex Killorn: 4.4% probability
• Brandon Hagel: 4.2% probability

Anytime Goal Scorer Probabilities

Washington Capitals

• Alex Ovechkin: 36.4% probability
• Tom Wilson: 22.9% probability
• T.J. Oshie: 21.8% probability
• Dylan Strome: 21.6% probability
• Evgeny Kuznetsov: 19.1% probability

Tampa Bay Lightning

• Brayden Point: 39.6% probability
• Nikita Kucherov: 39.6% probability
• Steven Stamkos: 36.4% probability
• Alex Killorn: 23.6% probability
• Brandon Hagel: 22.7% probability

Remember, DimersBOT updates frequently, so keep an eye on this page for the latest betting analysis before Capitals vs. Lightning on Thursday March 30, 2023.

Capitals vs. Lightning 2023 Game Info

Thursday's action between the Lightning and Capitals at Amalie Arena is scheduled to begin at 7:00PM ET.

• Who: Washington Capitals vs. Tampa Bay Lightning
• Date: Thursday March 30, 2023
• Time: 7:00PM ET / 4:00PM PT
• Venue: Amalie Arena

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