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Read Article Broncos vs. Bears Week 4 Prediction and Odds - October 1, 2023
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dimers Data
The Chicago Bears will face the Denver Broncos in NFL Week 4 action at Soldier Field on Sunday, commencing at 1:00PM ET.
Dimers' free betting picks for Broncos vs. Bears, plus game predictions, betting odds and touchdown scorer probabilities, are featured in this article.
This Denver vs. Chicago betting preview is brought to you by Bet365, which has a Bet $1, Get $365 in Bonus Bets offer for new customers.
Who Will Win: Broncos vs. Bears
Based on advanced machine learning and data, Dimers.com has simulated Sunday's Broncos-Bears NFL game 10,000 times.
Dimers' independent predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, currently gives the Broncos a 64% chance of beating the Bears in Week 4 of the NFL season.
More: Broncos vs. Bears Simulated 10,000 Times
Broncos vs. Bears Odds
- Spread: Bears +3 (-108), Broncos -3 (-105)
- Moneyline: Bears +140, Broncos -150
- Total: Over/Under 46.5 (-115/-105)
The Bears are +3 underdogs against the Broncos, with -108 at DraftKings Sportsbook the best odds currently available.
For the favored Broncos (-3) to cover the spread, PointsBet has the best odds currently on offer at -105.
BetMGM currently has the best moneyline odds for the Bears at +140. That means you can bet $100 to profit $140, earning a total payout of $240, if they win.
Meanwhile, PointsBet currently has the best moneyline odds for the Broncos at -150, where you can risk $150 to win $100, for a total payout of $250, if they come out on top.
The Over/Under is set at 46.5 with FanDuel Sportsbook, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -115, as well as the best odds for the Under at -105.
As always, check out the sportsbooks you have access to in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.
According to DimersBOT, the Broncos (-3) have a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the 46.5-point Over/Under has a 55% chance of going Under.
More: Predictions for Every NFL Game
Best Bets: Broncos vs. Bears
- Spread: Broncos -3 @ -105 via PointsBet (56% probability) 🔥
- Moneyline: Broncos @ -150 via PointsBet (64% probability)
- Total: Under 46.5 @ -105 via FanDuel Sportsbook (55% probability)
Every time you see a 🔥, you know it's one of our best free picks today across all sports.
Dimers' best bets are based on world-class modeling and wagering intelligence to help you make better investments with the legal sportsbooks in the United States.
Broncos vs. Bears Prediction
Dimers.com's predicted final score for Denver vs. Chicago at Soldier Field in Week 4 has the Broncos winning 24-21.
Click or tap on See Matchup for more information.
Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 3:45PM, Oct 1
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
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Dimers has full betting coverage of this week's Broncos-Bears game in Week 4, including pregame predictions, computer picks, and live win probabilities.
Broncos vs. Bears Player Props
Who will score an anytime touchdown in Broncos vs. Bears? The data is in.
Listed below are the most likely first touchdown and most likely anytime touchdown scorers for both the Broncos and Bears, as well as player stat projections.
And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you discover the best prop picks for Sunday's game.
According to DimersBOT, Denver's Javonte Williams is most likely to score the first touchdown in Broncos vs. Bears.
DimersBOT gives Williams an 11.7% chance of scoring the first TD at Soldier Field, while the Broncos RB is a 48.2% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for our full list of first and anytime TD scorer probabilities, which provide a great avenue for you to use this DraftKings Sportsbook offer, which unlocks $200 in bonus bets from a $5 bet on any of the below players.
First Touchdown Scorer Probabilities
Denver Broncos
- Javonte Williams: 11.7% probability
- Jerry Jeudy: 9.9% probability
- Courtland Sutton: 8.9% probability
- Samaje Perine: 5.2% probability
- Marvin Mims: 4.5% probability
Chicago Bears
- Justin Fields: 10.9% probability
- Roschon Johnson: 8.6% probability
- DJ Moore: 6.4% probability
- Khalil Herbert: 5.5% probability
- Darnell Mooney: 4.9% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Probabilities
Denver Broncos
- Javonte Williams: 48.2% probability
- Jerry Jeudy: 41.4% probability
- Courtland Sutton: 38.5% probability
- Samaje Perine: 25.5% probability
- Marvin Mims: 21.1% probability
Chicago Bears
- Justin Fields: 47.3% probability
- Roschon Johnson: 38.9% probability
- DJ Moore: 30.0% probability
- Khalil Herbert: 26.4% probability
- Darnell Mooney: 23.4% probability
Broncos-Bears Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Broncos' Russell Wilson is projected for 253 passing yards, while the Bears' Justin Fields is expected to throw for 208 yards.
Broncos Starting QB
- Russell Wilson: 253 projected yards
Bears Starting QB
- Justin Fields: 208 projected yards
Broncos Rushing
- Javonte Williams: 50 projected yards
- Samaje Perine: 25 projected yards
- Russell Wilson: 17 projected yards
Bears Rushing
- Justin Fields: 64 projected yards
- Khalil Herbert: 39 projected yards
- Roschon Johnson: 38 projected yards
Broncos Receiving
- Jerry Jeudy: 60 projected yards
- Courtland Sutton: 57 projected yards
- Adam Trautman: 29 projected yards
- Marvin Mims: 26 projected yards
- Javonte Williams: 19 projected yards
Bears Receiving
- DJ Moore: 56 projected yards
- Darnell Mooney: 45 projected yards
- Cole Kmet: 37 projected yards
- Roschon Johnson: 17 projected yards
- Khalil Herbert: 15 projected yards
Remember, DimersBOT updates often, so keep an eye on this page for the latest betting insights before Broncos vs. Bears on Sunday October 1, 2023.
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Broncos vs. Bears 2023
The NFL Week 4 action between the Bears and Broncos at Soldier Field is scheduled to start at 1:00PM ET.
- Who: Denver Broncos vs. Chicago Bears
- Date: Sunday October 1, 2023
- Time: 1:00PM ET / 10:00AM PT
- Venue: Soldier Field
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Make Informed Sports Betting Decisions Today
Dimers' picks are made after 10,000 simulations per game, using reliable and up-to-date data sources and analytical methods.
While these Broncos vs. Bears predictions can help you make informed decisions, it's crucial that you only bet what you can afford to lose and manage your finances effectively.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Want More NFL Analysis Like This?
So, you liked our Broncos vs. Bears betting predictions? Awesome. Did you know our NFL Betting News page has a detailed betting preview for every NFL matchup as soon as the sportsbooks release their odds?
That's right, our predictive analytics model then compares those odds against its own probabilities to find value in the markets. This allows us to create the most reliable NFL betting previews and get the jump on the public and the sportsbooks.
In addition to our leading NFL predictions, we also feature the best NFL prop bets today, projecting passing yards, touchdowns, and more against the best odds available every single day of the NFL season.
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Dimers Data Dimers Data delivers cold-blooded analysis straight from thousands of simulations run by predictive models built by our in-house team of data scientists and analysts. No hunches. No guesswork. Just pure, data-led insight serious bettors rely on to stay ahead.
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