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Red Sox vs. Orioles prediction: Baltimore favored to win Friday's MLB matchup [4/24/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles predictions for MLB Friday.
The Baltimore Orioles will face the Boston Red Sox, in what is expected to be a close MLB game, at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Friday, commencing at 7:05 PM ET.
The Orioles will start Brandon Young (1-0, 0.00 ERA), up against Brayan Bello (1-2, 6.75 ERA) for the Red Sox.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven MLB model gives the Orioles a slight edge with a 53% win probability over the Red Sox.
This article offers a closer look at Friday's Red Sox vs. Orioles matchup, including best bets and picks.
Red Sox vs. Orioles prediction: Who will win?
Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Friday's MLB game between the Red Sox and Orioles, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Orioles a 53% chance of beating the Red Sox.
According to our model, the 9-run over/under has a 54% chance of going over.
Red Sox vs. Orioles odds [4/24/2026]
We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Red Sox | Orioles |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +100 | -115 |
| Total | o9 (-108) | u9 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Red Sox vs. Orioles picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Orioles | -115 |
| Total | Over 9 | -108 |
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 9 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Red Sox vs. Orioles game-day updates and essential details
Friday's MLB matchup between the Orioles and Red Sox at Oriole Park at Camden Yards is scheduled to start at 7:05 PM ET.
- Who: Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles
- Date: Friday, April 24, 2026
- Time: 7:05 PM ET/4:05PM PT
- Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Conclusion
We predict the Orioles, with a 53% win probability, will likely beat the Red Sox in Friday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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