Red Sox vs. Orioles prediction: Baltimore favored to win Friday's MLB matchup [4/24/2026]

profile-img
Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles predictions for MLB Friday.

Boston Red Sox-Baltimore Orioles Predictions and Game Preview.
Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB prediction for Friday, April 24, 2026.

The Baltimore Orioles will face the Boston Red Sox, in what is expected to be a tight MLB game, at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Friday, commencing at 7:05 PM ET.

The Orioles will send Brandon Young (1-0, 0.00 ERA) to the mound, while the Red Sox have opted for Brayan Bello (1-2, 6.75 ERA).

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven MLB model gives the Orioles a slight edge with a 54% win probability over the Red Sox.

This article offers further insights into Friday's Red Sox vs. Orioles matchup, including best bets and picks.

Red Sox vs. Orioles prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Friday's MLB game between the Red Sox and Orioles, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Orioles a 54% chance of beating the Red Sox.

According to our model, the Red Sox (+1.5) have a 62% chance of covering the run line, while the 8.5-run over/under has a 54% chance of going over.

 

Red Sox vs. Orioles odds [4/24/2026]

We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Red Sox Orioles
Run Line +1.5 (-200) -1.5 (+165)
Moneyline +106 -124
Total o8.5 (-102) u8.5 (+100)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Red Sox vs. Orioles picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Run Line Orioles -1.5 +165
Moneyline Orioles -124
Total Over 8.5 -102

According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 8.5 total runs.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

 

Red Sox vs. Orioles game-day updates and essential details

Friday's MLB matchup between the Orioles and Red Sox at Oriole Park at Camden Yards is scheduled to start at 7:05 PM ET.

Conclusion

We predict the Orioles, with a 54% win probability, will likely beat the Red Sox in Friday's MLB matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

profile-img
Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

Advertiser disclosure

Related Articles

More Articles
Dimers Sports
Brewers vs. Athletics prediction: Why Milwaukee is favored to win Monday's MLB matchup [6/8/2026]
Read Article
Dimers Sports
Nationals vs. Giants prediction: San Francisco favored to win Monday's MLB matchup [6/8/2026]
Read Article
Dimers Sports
Reds vs. Padres prediction: San Diego favored to win Monday's MLB matchup [6/8/2026]
Read Article