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Best NBA Player Prop Picks, Bets for Parlays on Saturday July 3, 2021

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua
Best NBA Player Prop Picks, Bets for Parlays on Saturday July 3, 2021

With so much riding on the fitness of two stars, you might be thinking that choosing a winning prop play for tonight's Game 6 between the Bucks and Hawks will be tough. But that's where we come in.

So how do our player prop picks work exactly?

Well, our predictive analytics model has crunched the numbers ahead of tonight's game, giving us the likely stats projections which we've matched up against the sportsbook lines to find the biggest differential and edge for you to make a play on. While this article contains the best edges that we've found against the books, you can run this exercise yourself by looking in the Pre-Game Predictions tab of the game of your choice in the NBA Bet Hub.

With NBA betting picks, probabilities, odds and predicted scores featured each and every day at Dimers.com, check out our top NBA player prop picks for tonight's games.

Your favorite player not here? Find player projections for every game tonight via our NBA Bet Hub where we deliver you NBA predictions and suggested bets, based on the edge we've identified against the sportsbooks' odds.

Don't care for player props and just want picks? Sure thing. Visit our Quick Picks section and get the lowdown on the best bets for all pro and college sports.

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It's Saturday, July 3. Here is what the data is telling us for tonight's NBA player props ⏬



Bucks @ Hawks

PLAYER: Jrue Holiday

BET: OVER 10.5 assists with DraftKings Sportsbook (+118)

Jrue Holiday is showing the basketball world why the Bucks gave up so much to bring the guard in from the New Orleans Pelicans, and it's paying off big time with Giannis out with injury. Holiday stepped up in Game 5, registering 25 points to go along with 6 rebounds and 13 assists. That's not to mention that he also had the first bucket of the night. The Milwaukee man is a props darling right now, and with another high usage rate expected in Game 6, the plus money looks attractive for the assists total.

PLAYER: Brook Lopez

BET: OVER 1.5 made threes with DraftKings Sportsbook (+186)

The man who was originally drafted by the New Jersey Nets in 2008 as their franchise player turned back the clock to those early days in NJ with a dazzling performance in Game 5. The 33-year-old scored 33 points on 18 shots which is tied for his highest amount of attempts in a game this season. With Giannis out, it makes sense to expect a similar output again, and while the vast majority of his shots will be from the post, don't discount his ability to let it fly from deep - he's a sharpshooter when he wants to be and he will be asked to shoot the three ball. There's no doubt he'll get the required amount of volume from behind the three-point line, the only question will be accuracy. At +186, those are odds worth betting on.

PLAYER: John Collins

BET: UNDER 8.5 rebounds with DraftKings Sportsbook (-118)

The Atlanta big man has been performing below expectations since a big Game 1 in which he scored 23 points to go with 15 rebounds. Since then, Collins has averaged just 11 points and 7.75 boards. We're going to go ahead and fade him in this one as it looks quite clear that he's in something of a slump.

MORE: Bucks @ Hawks betting predictions

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NBA Playoffs Free to Play

Think you know your stuff when it comes to props? Then enter our daily NBA Playoffs Free to Play contest!

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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