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Best NBA parlay today: Our +1001 data-backed quadruple threat for Tuesday [1/13/2026]

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Written by Nick Slade
Reviewed by Dave Garofolo

Today’s four-leg NBA parlay doesn't rely on gut feeling; it relies on distinct edge ranges that have historically outperformed the market.

Best NBA parlay today.
Tuesday's NBA parlay relies on Giannis and co. getting us off to a winning start.

If you are looking for a data-driven NBA parlay to attack this Tuesday, the value lies in consistency rather than guessing. Today’s four-leg NBA wager relies on distinct edge ranges that have historically outperformed the market.

For today’s NBA parlay, our new 'Sweet Spot' filter has unearthed four specific opportunities—two moneylines, a spread, and a total—where the math is strong. By combining these edges, we arrive at a compelling parlay today with +1001 odds.

Here is the breakdown of our parlay picks for Tuesday, January 13, sourced from the Dimers Pro NBA best bets section.

NBA parlay for Tuesday

Leg 1: Milwaukee Bucks Moneyline (-145)

Matchup: Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Milwaukee Bucks

We begin our NBA parlay in Milwaukee, where the Bucks host the Timberwolves. The market has priced the Bucks as moderate favorites, but our projections indicate they are winning this matchup significantly more often than the implied odds suggest.

Our model assigns a 63.2% probability to a Milwaukee victory, creating a substantial 4.0% edge.

The Reasoning: This is one of the strongest signals on the board. Our data shows that NBA Moneyline bets in this specific edge range have returned a 19.5% profit for Dimers Pro users across 111 similar bets. We are banking on this high-volume trend to start the night with a win.

NBA parlay today

Leg 2: Denver Nuggets Moneyline (-134)

Matchup: Denver Nuggets vs. New Orleans Pelicans

For the second leg of our Tuesday parlay, we look to the Nuggets to take care of business against the Pelicans. Denver is priced at -134, but the underlying metrics suggest their true win equity is higher against this specific New Orleans roster.

We calculate a 59.6% win probability for Denver, resulting in a solid 2.4% edge against the current line.

The Reasoning: Consistency is key here. Just like the Bucks pick, this wager falls into a highly profitable historical tier. NBA Moneyline bets in this edge range have also returned a 19.5% profit for Dimers Pro users across 111 similar bets, reinforcing the value of backing the favorite in this spot.

Get excited, the Dimers app is coming soon! Stay tuned.

Leg 3: San Antonio Spurs +7.5 (-105)

Matchup: San Antonio Spurs vs. Oklahoma City Thunder

The third leg involves taking the points. The Thunder are heavy favorites, but the market has likely over-adjusted, leaving the Spurs with too many points in hand. Catching 7.5 points is significant in the modern NBA, especially when the data suggests a tighter contest.

Our simulation gives the Spurs a 53.5% probability of covering the spread, identifying a 2.3% edge.

The Reasoning: While the ROI here is more modest, it is steady. NBA Spread bets in this specific edge range have returned 3.0% profit across 36 similar bets. Including this cover adds stability to the parlay today by leveraging a cushioned spread rather than an outright upset.

ANALYSIS: The Spurs are favored to cover in Tuesday's NBA matchup

Leg 4: Hawks vs. Lakers Under 232.5 (-110)

Matchup: Atlanta Hawks vs. LA Lakers

We close out the ticket in Los Angeles with a total play. Both the Hawks and Lakers can score, but a line of 232.5 suggests a shootout that our data doesn't fully support. We see value in fading the public perception of an endless track meet.

Our model projects the Under hitting with a 55.4% probability, offering a strong 3.0% edge.

The Reasoning: Totals often provide the best hidden value on the board. NBA Over/Under bets in this edge range have been exceptionally lucrative, returning 23.3% profit across 55 similar bets. We trust the defense to step up just enough to keep this under the total.

Today's parlay

Leg 1: Bucks Moneyline (-145)

Leg 2: Mavericks Moneyline (-155)

Leg 3: Spurs +7.5 (-105)

Leg 4: Hawks/Lakers Under 232.5 (-110)

Tuesday parlay odds: +1001

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To give you the most accurate and helpful information, this article has been reviewed and edited by Dave Garofolo through our fact-checking process.
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Written by
Nick Slade
Chief Content Officer

Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.

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