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Spurs vs. Thunder prediction: Oklahoma City favored to win Tuesday's NBA matchup [1/13/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get San Antonio Spurs vs Oklahoma City Thunder predictions for NBA Tuesday.
NBA action continues on Tuesday at 8:00 PM ET as the San Antonio Spurs take on the Oklahoma City Thunder at Paycom Center.
Based on the latest simulation results and today’s injury news, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Thunder as the most likely winner of the Spurs vs. Thunder game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Thunder lineup will feature players like Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams and Chet Holmgren, while the Spurs will look to Victor Wembanyama, De'Aaron Fox and Stephon Castle.
This article offers a closer look at Tuesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Spurs vs. Thunder prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday's NBA game between the Spurs and Thunder 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Thunder a 72% chance of beating the Spurs. Our predicted final score has the Thunder winning 117-110.
According to our model, the Spurs (+7.5) have a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 229.5 points has a 51% chance of staying under.
Spurs vs. Thunder odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Spurs | Thunder |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +7.5 (-105) | -7.5 (-115) |
| Moneyline | +235 | -278 |
| Total | o229.5 (-110) | u229.5 (-108) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Spurs vs. Thunder picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Spurs +7.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Spurs | +235 |
| Total | Under 229.5 | -108 |
According to our NBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Spurs +7.5 at the spread.
Spurs vs. Thunder player props
NBA prop bets are a great way to wager on Tuesday's Spurs vs. Thunder matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Paycom Center.
Victor Wembanyama is expected to lead the Spurs with 22 points, 10 rebounds and 3 assists, while Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is projected to have 30 points, 5 rebounds and 7 assists for the Thunder.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Spurs prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Spurs are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Wembanyama | 22 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 48 |
| De'Aaron Fox | 19 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 39 |
| Stephon Castle | 17 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 38 |
| Keldon Johnson | 14 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 28 |
| J. Champagnie | 13 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 29 |
Thunder prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Thunder:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Gilgeous-Alexander | 30 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 53 |
| Jalen Williams | 19 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 39 |
| Chet Holmgren | 17 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 36 |
| Ajay Mitchell | 13 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 27 |
| Aaron Wiggins | 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 19 |
Spurs vs. Thunder game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's matchup between the Thunder and Spurs at Paycom Center is scheduled to commence at 8:00 PM ET.
- Who: San Antonio Spurs vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
- Date: Tuesday, January 13, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: Paycom Center
Conclusion
We predict the Thunder, with a 72% win probability, will likely beat the Spurs on Tuesday, with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander projected for a game-high 53 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Spurs vs. Thunder insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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