Spurs vs. Thunder prediction: Oklahoma City favored to win Tuesday's NBA matchup [1/13/2026]

NBA action continues on Tuesday at 8:00 PM ET as the San Antonio Spurs take on the favored Oklahoma City Thunder at Paycom Center.

Based on the latest simulation results and today’s injury reports, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Thunder as the most likely winner of the Spurs vs. Thunder game.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Thunder lineup will feature stars like Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams and Chet Holmgren, while the Spurs will look to Victor Wembanyama, De'Aaron Fox and Stephon Castle.

This article offers further insights into Tuesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Spurs vs. Thunder prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday's NBA game between the Spurs and Thunder 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Thunder a 74% chance of defeating the Spurs. Our predicted final score has the Thunder winning 117-110.

According to our model, the Spurs (+8.5) have a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the 230.5-point over/under has a 52% chance of staying under.

Spurs vs. Thunder odds

We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Spurs	Thunder
Spread	+8.5 (-108)	-8.5 (-108)
Moneyline	+260	-300
Total	o230.5 (-110)	u230.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Spurs vs. Thunder picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Spurs +8.5	-108
Moneyline	Thunder	-300
Total	Under 230.5	-110

According to our best NBA bets for Tuesday, the top play to make on this game is Spurs +8.5 at the spread.

Spurs vs. Thunder player props

NBA prop bets are a common way to wager on Tuesday's San Antonio vs. Oklahoma City matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Paycom Center.

Victor Wembanyama is expected to lead the Spurs with 22 points, 10 rebounds and 3 assists, while Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is projected to have 31 points, 5 rebounds and 7 assists for the Thunder.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.

Spurs prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Spurs are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
V. Wembanyama	22	10	3	2	48
De'Aaron Fox	19	4	6	2	38
Stephon Castle	17	5	6	1	38
Keldon Johnson	14	7	1	2	28
J. Champagnie	13	7	2	3	30

Thunder prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Thunder:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
S. Gilgeous-Alexander	31	5	7	2	53
Jalen Williams	19	6	6	1	39
Chet Holmgren	18	9	2	1	38
Ajay Mitchell	13	4	4	1	28
Aaron Wiggins	11	4	2	2	22

Spurs vs. Thunder game-day updates and essential details

Tuesday's action between the Thunder and Spurs at Paycom Center is scheduled to start at 8:00 PM ET.

• Who: San Antonio Spurs vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
• Date: Tuesday, January 13, 2026
• Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
• Venue: Paycom Center

Conclusion

We predict the Thunder, with a 74% win probability, will likely beat the Spurs on Tuesday, with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander projected for a game-high 53 fantasy points.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Spurs vs. Thunder insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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