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Nuggets vs. Pelicans Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Nuggets vs. Pelicans NBA game on January 13, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
122
116
Jan 14, 1AM Smoothie King Center
Jan 14, 1AM Smoothie King Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nuggets | 32 | 28 | 29 | 33 | 122 |
Pelicans | 31 | 34 | 27 | 24 | 116 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
70%
30%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nuggets | 32 | 28 | 29 | 33 | 122 |
Pelicans | 31 | 34 | 27 | 24 | 116 |
Q4 00:23 Zion Williamson misses two point tip layup
Q4 00:39 Nuggets makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:02 Pelicans makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:22 Peyton Watson misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:27 Pelicans makes two point jump shot
Q4 3:45 Jamal Murray makes three point jump shot
Q4 5:17 Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Q4 5:36 Trey Murphy III misses two point jump shot
Q4 6:11 Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q4 7:30 Aaron Gordon misses two point fadeaway jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Zion Williamson personal foul
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 2
122-116
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 2
122-116
Instant replay (Challenge: Ruling Overturned)
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Pelicans 60 second timeout
Zion Williamson misses two point tip layup
Aaron Gordon defensive rebound
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Pelicans lineup change (Zion Williamson, Saddiq Bey, Jordan Hawkins, Yves Missi, Trey Murphy III)
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
118-114
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
118-114
Pelicans lineup change (Derik Queen, Zion Williamson, Saddiq Bey, Jordan Hawkins, Trey Murphy III)
Nuggets lineup change (Peyton Watson, Aaron Gordon, Jamal Murray, Tim Hardaway Jr., Zeke Nnaji)
Derik Queen defensive rebound
Peyton Watson misses three point jump shot
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
112-112
+3
Jamal Murray makes three point jump shot
118-114
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Zion Williamson defensive rebound
Aaron Gordon personal foul (Saddiq Bey draws the foul)
+1
Saddiq Bey makes regular free throw 2 of 2
120-116
+1
Saddiq Bey makes regular free throw 1 of 2
120-116
Pelicans lineup change (Derik Queen, Zion Williamson, Jeremiah Fears, Saddiq Bey, Trey Murphy III)
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 2
106-105
Nuggets lineup change (Peyton Watson, Aaron Gordon, Jamal Murray, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jalen Pickett)
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 2
120-116
Nuggets lineup change (Peyton Watson, Aaron Gordon, Jamal Murray, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jalen Pickett)
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Trey Murphy III turnover (lost ball)
Aaron Gordon defensive rebound
Trey Murphy III misses two point jump shot
Pelicans lineup change (Derik Queen, Zion Williamson, Saddiq Bey, Jordan Hawkins, Trey Murphy III)
Jordan Poole turnover (Peyton Watson steals)
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
+1
Jordan Poole makes regular free throw 2 of 2
118-114
+1
Jordan Poole makes regular free throw 1 of 2
120-116
Aaron Gordon misses two point fadeaway jump shot
Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Peyton Watson, Aaron Gordon, Jamal Murray, Jalen Pickett)
Pelicans offensive rebound
Pelicans lineup change (Derik Queen, Saddiq Bey, Jordan Hawkins, Trey Murphy III, Jordan Poole)
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
112-112
Bruce Brown defensive rebound
Yves Missi misses two point tip layup
Yves Missi offensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Nuggets personal foul
Nuggets personal foul
+2
Zion Williamson makes two point jump shot
112-112
+1
Zion Williamson makes regular free throw 1 of 1
118-114
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Pelicans defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Jordan Hawkins defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Saddiq Bey personal foul
+1
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
112-112
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Pelicans offensive rebound
Pelicans lineup change (Zion Williamson, Saddiq Bey, Jordan Hawkins, Yves Missi, Jordan Poole)
Jamal Murray misses two point jump shot
Zeke Nnaji defensive rebound
Jamal Murray misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Nuggets offensive rebound
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 2
112-112
Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Spencer Jones, Jamal Murray, Tim Hardaway Jr., Zeke Nnaji)
Jordan Poole misses three point pullup jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
104-105
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 2
104-105
Nuggets turnover
+1
Jordan Poole makes regular free throw 1 of 2
81-86
Nuggets personal foul
Trey Murphy III turnover (offensive foul)
Pelicans lineup change (Micah Peavy, Jordan Hawkins, Karlo Matkovic, Yves Missi, Jordan Poole)
Nuggets offensive rebound
Pelicans lineup change (Micah Peavy, Karlo Matkovic, Yves Missi, Trey Murphy III, Jordan Poole)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jeremiah Fears turnover
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
94-99
Nuggets offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Pelicans lineup change (Micah Peavy, Jeremiah Fears, Karlo Matkovic, Yves Missi, Trey Murphy III)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jeremiah Fears misses two point driving layup
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
81-86
Trey Murphy III shooting foul (Peyton Watson draws the foul)
+1
Peyton Watson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
75-82
+1
Peyton Watson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
94-99
Trey Murphy III turnover
Derik Queen defensive rebound
Saddiq Bey offensive rebound
Pelicans personal foul
Nuggets personal foul
Instant replay
+1
Saddiq Bey makes regular free throw 2 of 2
74-82
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
74-82
Nuggets defensive rebound
Pelicans 60 second timeout
Nuggets lineup change (Peyton Watson, Aaron Gordon, Jamal Murray, Tim Hardaway Jr., Zeke Nnaji)
Nuggets personal foul
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Jump ball. (Aaron Gordon gains possession)
Aaron Gordon offensive rebound
Aaron Gordon offensive rebound
Jeremiah Fears blocks Aaron Gordon's two point driving layup
Nuggets personal foul
+1
Jeremiah Fears makes regular free throw 2 of 2
63-71
Nuggets lineup change (Peyton Watson, Aaron Gordon, Jamal Murray, Zeke Nnaji, Jalen Pickett)
Nuggets lineup change (Peyton Watson, Aaron Gordon, Jamal Murray, Zeke Nnaji, Jalen Pickett)
Nuggets lineup change (Peyton Watson, Aaron Gordon, Jamal Murray, Zeke Nnaji, Jalen Pickett)
Nuggets lineup change (Peyton Watson, Aaron Gordon, Jamal Murray, Zeke Nnaji, Jalen Pickett)
Nuggets lineup change (Peyton Watson, Aaron Gordon, Jamal Murray, Zeke Nnaji, Jalen Pickett)
+2
Peyton Watson makes two point driving layup (Jalen Pickett assists)
63-71
Nuggets personal foul
Pelicans defensive rebound
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
63-71
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Pelicans personal foul
+1
Peyton Watson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
63-71
Zion Williamson turnover (3-second violation)
Nuggets personal foul
+1
Saddiq Bey makes regular free throw 2 of 2
60-69
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Peyton Watson defensive rebound
Jeremiah Fears misses three point running jump shot
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
End of 1st Half.
Pelicans lineup change (Derik Queen, Zion Williamson, Jeremiah Fears, Saddiq Bey, Trey Murphy III)
Pelicans violation
Derik Queen misses two point layup
Derik Queen defensive rebound
Yves Missi personal foul (Aaron Gordon draws the foul)
Pelicans lineup change (Derik Queen, Jeremiah Fears, Saddiq Bey, Jordan Hawkins, Trey Murphy III)
+2
Trey Murphy III makes two point jump shot
58-64
+1
Trey Murphy III makes regular free throw 1 of 1
60-65
Pelicans lineup change (Jeremiah Fears, Saddiq Bey, Jordan Hawkins, Yves Missi, Trey Murphy III)
Tim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound
Jordan Hawkins offensive rebound
+1
Aaron Gordon makes regular free throw 2 of 2
55-62
+3
Trey Murphy III makes three point jump shot
60-65
Nuggets personal foul
+1
Zion Williamson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
60-65
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
51-58
Spencer Jones defensive rebound
Derik Queen misses two point jump shot
Aaron Gordon misses three point jump shot
Nuggets turnover
Jeremiah Fears defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Nuggets personal foul
Pelicans lineup change (Derik Queen, Zion Williamson, Jeremiah Fears, Jordan Hawkins, Trey Murphy III)
+1
Trey Murphy III makes regular free throw 2 of 2
49-54
Bruce Brown defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Trey Murphy III defensive rebound
Nuggets defensive rebound
Nuggets offensive rebound
Spencer Jones misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Pelicans personal foul
Nuggets offensive rebound
+1
Peyton Watson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
47-50
Pelicans turnover
Pelicans personal foul
Pelicans personal foul
Pelicans 60 second timeout
Pelicans lineup change (Derik Queen, Micah Peavy, Karlo Matkovic, Trey Murphy III, Jordan Poole)
+1
Peyton Watson makes regular free throw 1 of 1
46-50
Yves Missi offensive rebound
Yves Missi misses two point layup
Yves Missi misses two point layup
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
+3
Pelicans makes three point jump shot
41-50
Spencer Jones offensive rebound
Aaron Gordon defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Tim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound
Nuggets turnover
Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Spencer Jones, Peyton Watson, Aaron Gordon, Tim Hardaway Jr.)
Saddiq Bey offensive rebound
Saddiq Bey defensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Spencer Jones, Peyton Watson, Tim Hardaway Jr., Zeke Nnaji)
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Nuggets personal foul
+1
Yves Missi makes regular free throw 1 of 2
35-35
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Pelicans personal foul
+1
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 3
33-31
+1
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 3
34-31
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Nuggets personal foul
Pelicans lineup change (Zion Williamson, Saddiq Bey, Jordan Hawkins, Yves Missi, Jordan Poole)
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
32-29
Karlo Matkovic offensive rebound
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
27-27
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
27-25
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
25-22
Pelicans personal foul
Trey Murphy III turnover (offensive foul)
Pelicans lineup change (Micah Peavy, Karlo Matkovic, Yves Missi, Trey Murphy III, Jordan Poole)
Nuggets turnover
Karlo Matkovic defensive rebound
Nuggets personal foul
+1
Jeremiah Fears makes regular free throw 1 of 2
22-19
Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Peyton Watson, Jamal Murray, Tim Hardaway Jr., Zeke Nnaji)
+1
Jeremiah Fears makes regular free throw 2 of 2
22-20
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
22-18
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
20-18
Peyton Watson defensive rebound
Trey Murphy III misses three point stepback jump shot
Peyton Watson defensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Pelicans personal foul
Pelicans lineup change (Derik Queen, Micah Peavy, Saddiq Bey, Karlo Matkovic, Trey Murphy III)
+1
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
18-18
Pelicans lineup change (Derik Queen, Micah Peavy, Jeremiah Fears, Karlo Matkovic, Trey Murphy III)
Spencer Jones defensive rebound
Zion Williamson offensive rebound
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
16-18
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
14-18
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
14-16
Pelicans 60 second timeout
Nuggets lineup change (Spencer Jones, Peyton Watson, Aaron Gordon, Jamal Murray, Tim Hardaway Jr.)
+1
Saddiq Bey makes regular free throw 2 of 2
11-16
Derik Queen defensive rebound
+3
Pelicans makes three point jump shot
11-14
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
11-11
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jeremiah Fears defensive rebound
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
5-4
Trey Murphy III defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Derik Queen defensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Trey Murphy III defensive rebound
Pelicans personal foul
+1
Jamal Murray makes technical free throw 1 of 1
5-2
Spencer Jones defensive rebound
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
4-2
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
2-0
Karlo Matkovic defensive rebound
Start of 1st Quarter
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Nuggets vs. Pelicans: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Nuggets vs. Pelicans
- Date: Tuesday, January 13, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET
- Venue: Smoothie King Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Nuggets favored at -2.5
- Total (Over/Under): 235.5
- Moneyline Odds: Nuggets -125, Pelicans +123
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Nuggets: 60%
- Pelicans: 40%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Nuggets 118-115 Pelicans.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Nuggets a win probability of 60%, while the Pelicans have a win probability of 40%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Nuggets are more likely to beat the Pelicans in the NBA game at Smoothie King Center on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Nuggets vs. Pelicans predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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