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Spurs vs. Thunder Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Spurs vs. Thunder NBA game on January 13, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
98
119
Jan 14, 1AM Paycom Center
Jan 14, 1AM Paycom Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Spurs | 26 | 26 | 38 | 8 | 98 |
Thunder | 32 | 23 | 49 | 15 | 119 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
<1%
>99%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Spurs | 26 | 26 | 38 | 8 | 98 |
Thunder | 32 | 23 | 49 | 15 | 119 |
Q4 00:53 Thunder makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:24 Aaron Wiggins misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:02 Spurs makes three point jump shot
Q4 2:13 Thunder makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:32 Thunder makes three point jump shot (Jalen Williams assists)
Q4 3:08 Alex Caruso makes two point driving floating jump shot (Jaylin Williams assists)
Q4 3:35 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point pullup jump shot
Q4 4:21 De'Aaron Fox misses three point jump shot
Q4 5:02 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point stepback jump shot
Q4 5:19 Spurs misses two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Jeremy Sochan defensive rebound
Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
98-119
Aaron Wiggins misses three point jump shot
Dylan Harper personal foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)
Thunder lineup change (Aaron Wiggins, Jaylin Williams, Cason Wallace, Ajay Mitchell, Isaiah Joe)
Spurs lineup change (Lindy Waters III, Jeremy Sochan, Jordan McLaughlin, Dylan Harper, Kelly Olynyk)
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
98-119
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Aaron Wiggins, Jaylin Williams, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Joe)
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
98-119
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
98-119
Spurs turnover
Spurs 60 second timeout
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot (Jalen Williams assists)
95-112
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander technical foul (Double)
+2
Alex Caruso makes two point driving floating jump shot (Jaylin Williams assists)
98-119
Thunder lineup change (Jalen Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jaylin Williams, Cason Wallace, Alex Caruso)
Luke Kornet defensive rebound
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point pullup jump shot
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Stephon Castle personal foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)
Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, De'Aaron Fox, Luke Kornet, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie)
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
98-119
De'Aaron Fox misses three point jump shot
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point stepback jump shot
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Keldon Johnson offensive rebound
Keldon Johnson turnover (lost ball) (Ajay Mitchell steals)
Spurs offensive rebound
Jaylin Williams misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Thunder offensive rebound
Jump ball. (Aaron Wiggins gains possession)
De'Aaron Fox offensive rebound
Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Stephon Castle, De'Aaron Fox, Luke Kornet, Julian Champagnie)
De'Aaron Fox misses two point layup
Luke Kornet blocks Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's two point pullup jump shot
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Keldon Johnson personal foul (Ajay Mitchell draws the foul)
+1
Ajay Mitchell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
98-119
+1
Ajay Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
98-119
+2
Keldon Johnson makes two point cutting layup (Dylan Harper assists)
95-112
Chet Holmgren blocks Stephon Castle's two point layup
Stephon Castle personal foul (Isaiah Joe draws the foul)
Thunder 60 second timeout
Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Victor Wembanyama, Lindy Waters III, De'Aaron Fox, Dylan Harper)
Ajay Mitchell personal foul (Julian Champagnie draws the foul)
Thunder personal foul
+2
Victor Wembanyama makes two point putback dunk
82-102
Victor Wembanyama offensive rebound
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
90-104
Victor Wembanyama violation
Victor Wembanyama misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Thunder personal foul
Spurs offensive rebound
Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Victor Wembanyama, Lindy Waters III, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie)
Jalen Williams personal foul (Julian Champagnie draws the foul)
+3
Isaiah Joe makes three point jump shot (Jalen Williams assists)
76-95
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
90-104
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Ajay Mitchell personal foul (Victor Wembanyama draws the foul)
Thunder misses three point jump shot
End of 3rd Quarter.
Thunder lineup change (Jalen Williams, Ajay Mitchell, Chet Holmgren, Kenrich Williams, Isaiah Joe)
Victor Wembanyama offensive rebound
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
76-95
Alex Caruso personal foul (De'Aaron Fox draws the foul)
+1
De'Aaron Fox makes regular free throw 1 of 2
90-104
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
90-104
Thunder personal foul
Victor Wembanyama misses three point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Victor Wembanyama, Harrison Barnes, De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie)
Spurs turnover (shot clock violation)
De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+2
Jalen Williams makes two point jump shot
82-102
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
Spurs 60 second timeout
Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Stephon Castle, Victor Wembanyama, Luke Kornet, Dylan Harper)
+3
Jaylin Williams makes three point jump shot
65-73
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Thunder lineup change (Jalen Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Aaron Wiggins, Jaylin Williams, Alex Caruso)
Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
Julian Champagnie misses three point jump shot
+2
Jalen Williams makes two point jump shot
76-95
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
+2
Stephon Castle makes two point driving floating jump shot
69-82
Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Stephon Castle, Luke Kornet, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie)
Thunder turnover
Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Harrison Barnes, Luke Kornet, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie)
Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Harrison Barnes, De'Aaron Fox, Luke Kornet, Julian Champagnie)
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
65-73
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 1
62-73
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Spurs 60 second timeout
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
62-70
Victor Wembanyama personal foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
62-68
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
62-66
Victor Wembanyama offensive rebound
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
62-66
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
62-66
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+2
Victor Wembanyama makes two point jump shot (Stephon Castle assists)
62-66
Thunder violation
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Thunder offensive rebound
Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Victor Wembanyama, Harrison Barnes, De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie)
Thunder lineup change (Jalen Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Aaron Wiggins, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren)
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Victor Wembanyama misses two point jump shot
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
52-53
Alex Caruso offensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Chet Holmgren personal foul
Victor Wembanyama offensive rebound
Victor Wembanyama misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Thunder lineup change (Jalen Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Alex Caruso, Ajay Mitchell, Chet Holmgren)
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
52-53
Ajay Mitchell defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+3
Julian Champagnie makes three point jump shot (Dylan Harper assists)
51-51
Dylan Harper defensive rebound
Stephon Castle misses two point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
52-53
+1
Alex Caruso makes regular free throw 1 of 1
52-53
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Aaron Wiggins, Jaylin Williams, Alex Caruso, Ajay Mitchell)
+1
Dylan Harper makes regular free throw 2 of 2
52-53
Thunder misses two point jump shot
De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, De'Aaron Fox, Luke Kornet, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie)
Thunder offensive rebound
Thunder lineup change (Jalen Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jaylin Williams, Alex Caruso, Isaiah Joe)
Ajay Mitchell misses two point driving floating jump shot
Ajay Mitchell turnover (Luke Kornet steals)
Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
Keldon Johnson misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Luke Kornet shooting foul (Chet Holmgren draws the foul)
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
43-45
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Dylan Harper misses three point jump shot
Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Stephon Castle, Harrison Barnes, Luke Kornet, Dylan Harper)
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
41-43
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
37-41
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
+1
Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
37-39
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
37-37
Thunder turnover
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
34-37
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
32-36
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder 60 second timeout
Thunder lineup change (Jalen Williams, Ajay Mitchell, Chet Holmgren, Kenrich Williams, Isaiah Joe)
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Spurs turnover
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
30-34
Thunder personal foul
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
30-32
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
48-51
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
28-32
Thunder turnover
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Spurs offensive rebound
Thunder lineup change (Jalen Williams, Cason Wallace, Ajay Mitchell, Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Joe)
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
26-32
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
26-29
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
26-30
Thunder personal foul
+1
Dylan Harper makes regular free throw 2 of 2
26-25
Spurs personal foul
Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Victor Wembanyama, Lindy Waters III, De'Aaron Fox, Dylan Harper)
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
24-25
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
Spurs offensive rebound
Spurs personal foul
Spurs 60 second timeout
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 1
24-23
Jaylin Williams offensive rebound
Ajay Mitchell offensive rebound
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
22-18
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Thunder turnover
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
18-18
+1
Luke Kornet makes regular free throw 2 of 2
18-16
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
16-14
Dylan Harper defensive rebound
Thunder offensive rebound
Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Stephon Castle, Lindy Waters III, Luke Kornet, Dylan Harper)
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
Spurs turnover
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
13-14
Luke Kornet offensive rebound
Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Stephon Castle, Harrison Barnes, Luke Kornet, Dylan Harper)
Luke Kornet offensive rebound
Luke Kornet offensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
11-11
Luke Kornet offensive rebound
Stephon Castle misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Harrison Barnes, De'Aaron Fox, Luke Kornet, Julian Champagnie)
Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
7-9
Spurs violation
De'Aaron Fox turnover (offensive foul)
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
5-5
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Thunder turnover
Victor Wembanyama offensive rebound
Spurs offensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
4-2
+2
Stephon Castle makes two point driving dunk
2-0
Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Victor Wembanyama, Harrison Barnes, De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie)
Thunder lineup change (Jalen Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Aaron Wiggins, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Spurs vs. Thunder: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Spurs vs. Thunder
- Date: Tuesday, January 13, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET
- Venue: Paycom Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Thunder favored at -8.5
- Total (Over/Under): 230.5
- Moneyline Odds: Spurs +265, Thunder -285
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Spurs: 26%
- Thunder: 74%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Spurs 110-118 Thunder.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Spurs a win probability of 26%, while the Thunder have a win probability of 74%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Thunder are more likely to beat the Spurs in the NBA game at Paycom Center on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Spurs vs. Thunder predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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