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Nuggets vs. Pelicans prediction: Denver favored to win Tuesday's NBA matchup [1/13/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans predictions for NBA Tuesday.
The New Orleans Pelicans will face the Denver Nuggets in NBA action at Smoothie King Center on Tuesday, starting at 8:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results and today’s injury news, Dimers' advanced NBA model projects the Nuggets as the most likely winner of the Nuggets vs. Pelicans game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Pelicans lineup will feature players like Zion Williamson, Trey Murphy and Saddiq Bey, while the Nuggets will be led by Jamal Murray, Aaron Gordon and Peyton Watson.
This article offers further insights into Tuesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Nuggets vs. Pelicans prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday's NBA game between the Nuggets and Pelicans 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Nuggets a 60% chance of beating the Pelicans. Our predicted final score has the Nuggets winning 117-114.
According to our model, the Nuggets (-2.5) have a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 233.5 points has a 53% chance of staying under.
Nuggets vs. Pelicans odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Nuggets | Pelicans |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -2.5 (-105) | +2.5 (-112) |
| Moneyline | -134 | +115 |
| Total | o233.5 (-110) | u233.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Nuggets vs. Pelicans picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Nuggets -2.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Nuggets | -134 |
| Total | Under 233.5 | -110 |
According to our NBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Nuggets to win.
Nuggets vs. Pelicans player props
Betting on Nuggets vs. Pelicans NBA prop bets? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Smoothie King Center.
Jamal Murray is expected to lead the Nuggets with 25 points, 5 rebounds and 8 assists, while Zion Williamson is projected to have 25 points, 7 rebounds and 5 assists for the Pelicans.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Nuggets prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Nuggets are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray | 25 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 49 |
| Aaron Gordon | 19 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 36 |
| Peyton Watson | 19 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 39 |
| Tim Hardaway | 16 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 24 |
| Jalen Pickett | 9 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 24 |
Pelicans prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Pelicans:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zion Williamson | 25 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 47 |
| Trey Murphy | 25 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 46 |
| Saddiq Bey | 15 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 28 |
| Jeremiah Fears | 15 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 29 |
| Jordan Poole | 14 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 25 |
Nuggets vs. Pelicans game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's matchup between the Pelicans and Nuggets at Smoothie King Center is scheduled to start at 8:00 PM ET.
- Who: Denver Nuggets vs. New Orleans Pelicans
- Date: Tuesday, January 13, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: Smoothie King Center
Conclusion
We predict the Nuggets, with a 60% win probability, will likely beat the Pelicans on Tuesday, with Jamal Murray projected for a game-high 49 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Nuggets vs. Pelicans insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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