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Best MLB Betting Picks and Parlays: Thursday June 17, 2021
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Building some weekend bankroll is the aim of our game as we cruise into another Thursday of our MLB best bets.
It's Thursday June 17, and, as always, we've simulated all of today's games 10,000 times each determining where the value lies for baseball bettors across the United States.
With MLB betting picks, probabilities, odds and predicted scores featured each and every day, check out our top plays for today's games.
Your game not here? Find out who we're betting on in every game via our MLB Bet Hub where we deliver you predictions and suggested bets, based on the edge we've identified against the sportsbooks' odds.
Just want picks? Sure thing. Visit our Quick Picks section and get the lowdown on the best bets for all pro and college sports.
🔴 Already using an online sportsbook?
Our bet is you’re playing with just one, or maybe two, right? BUT, there are now far more legitimately good sportsbook options than you probably realize, all innovating the betting experience and desperate for you to give them a shot!
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Here is what the data is telling us for today's MLB games ⏬
Cardinals @ Braves
BET: Total runs UNDER 9 with PointsBet (-110)
📈 54.1% probability
The Cards have been playing some extremely low scoring baseball recently, going Under the run total in their last four games and averaging only 2.3 runs scored per game over their last six. Our data projections has that trend continuing tonight against the Braves.
But more than just that, when PointsBet is offering free bets like they are in the offer below, why wouldn't you take advantage!?
MORE: Cardinals @ Braves betting predictions
Reds @ Padres
BET: Total runs OVER 7.5 with William Hill (+102)
📈 2% edge on the sportsbooks' odds
Two high powered offenses come together tonight and our data anticipates a runfest. Musgrove will be taking the mound for the Padres, and he has been stifling with an ERA of 2.50, but the Reds, who average 5.09 runs per game (sixth-best in the MLB), should be able to trouble the scorers once the bullpen is wheeled out at the very least.
For a play like this, it's hard to look past this offer from William Hill Sportsbook who are giving new customers in certain states a RISK-FREE bet up to $500 - see if your state is one of them here. Basically, you can deposit as much or as little as you like (we recommend around $50) and then place your bet on our play. If we get it right, you cash in! If not, that's okay - they'll give you your money back to use again on another bet.
MORE: Reds @ Padres betting predictions
Brewers @ Rockies
BET: Colorado Rockies at the run line with BetMGM (-110)
📈 57% probability
We've got some nice odds with our projections returning a high probability that the Rockies can keep things close on their home turf against the Brewers. Milwaukee are coming off a horrible three-game series sweep against the Reds who dismantled them, keeping the Brewers to a total of four runs over the three games. Colorado themselves just beat the imposing Padres three times in a row to boost some confidence. The time to strike is now.
MORE: Brewers @ Rockies betting predictions
To best use this pick, you can't go wrong when signing up to BetMGM where new customers you can cash in even if your bet doesn't win!
Simply deposit $20 into your account, place your bet, and then wait for the money to come in, regardless of the result! It's free money.
MLB Thursday Parlay
Parlay our MLB picks with Unibet. Why? Because Unibet offer you a free bet bonus upon sign up without even having to deposit cash! No other 'books allow you to bet with free money before depositing, so use this completely free hit while you can. Virginia residents get a $100 free hit, while other states still receive $20.
Available in: NJ | PA | IN | VA
🔥 Cardinals/Braves u9 runs
🔥 Reds/Padres o7.5 runs
🔥 Rockies +1.5
💰Parlay with UniBet (+543)
MORE PICKS:
🏀 READ: TODAY'S NBA BETTING PICKS
🏀 READ: TODAY'S NBA BETTING PROPS
🏒 READ: TODAY'S NHL BETTING PICKS
💰 READ: TODAY'S SPORTS PARLAY
Ready to join a Sportsbook and start betting online? We’ve listed the best available Welcome Offers for each legal betting state.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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