It's been a tournament full of ups and downs (and unders. So many unders), but we continue moving forward through March, now arriving at the Elite 8.
It's Monday March 29, and, as we always do, we've simulated both of tonight's Elite 8 games 10,000 times each determining where the value lies for bettors across the United States.
With College Basketball betting picks, probabilities, odds and predicted scores featured each and every day, check out our top plays for tonight's games.
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Here is what the data is telling us for tonight's Elite 8 games ⏬
BET: 🔥 Oregon State (+7.5) to cover the spread (-108 with DraftKings Sportsbook)
📈 63.2% probability
Our predictive analytics machine, DimersBOT, is loving Oregon State to continue their herculean run against a mighty impressive looking Houston team, and the public seem to agree with early sportsbook indications showing that the Beavers ATS will have most of the handle by the time these two tip.
One of the obvious reasons for this is because of Oregon State's recent record, covering the spread in each of their last six games. After their recent demolition job of Loyola-Chicago, both our data projections and the public sentiment is leaning toward the 7.5 to be more than enough points for the Beavers to keep within.
BET: 🔥 Total points OVER 148.5 (-108 with PointsBet)
📈 52.6% probability
The first six games of the Sweet 16 set went Under in each, and if not for a buzzer beating longshot three-pointer in the Alabama/ULCA game, it would have been seven. But it now looks like the tide is starting to turn with two consecutive Over games to round out Sunday night and our data is banking on it continuing into Monday.
Looking at trends, and 12 of the last 15 Baylor games have gone over, each of those games they started favorite. With Baylor starting as 7-point favorites in this one, it's expected that they'll control the tempo throughout, pushing a fast-paced style of play that has seen them average 85.3 points per game this season which ranks as the third-best offense in America.
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