Best English Premier League Soccer Free Betting Picks, EPL Predictions and Parlay: Week 4, 2021-22Sep 11, 2021 at 12:43AM
English Football is back for the fourth match week of the season, and with plenty of big games on the board, we're amped up and ready to go again with our EPL betting picks.
It's Week 4 of the English Premier League, and, as always, we've simulated all of this week's EPL games 10,000 times each determining where the value lies for soccer bettors.
With EPL betting picks, probabilities, odds and predicted scores featured each and every day, check out our top plays for all the Week 4 games.
Your Week 4 game not here? Find out who we're betting on in every game via our Premier League Bet Hub where we deliver you predictions and suggested bets, based on the edge we've identified against the sportsbooks' odds.
Free EPL Picks
BET: Tottenham at the moneyline with PointsBet (-115)
📈 57.3% probability
Tottenham are on top of the table right now and this line is too good to ignore for them to make it four wins from four.
Even after the international break, there's no reason to go against Spurs just yet, and even away from home, they should have enough firepower to take down Palace.
BET: Watford at the moneyline with PointsBet (+240)
📈 26% probability
Ahhhh, the age old battle of man vs. machine comes into play here, with our friend Prospector Sam going against the usually trusty DimersBOT. Whilst the 'BOT has Wolves as the value play here, Prospector Sam is taking the home team at the moneyline (we're following him in to battle), and here's his explanation:
Neither of these sides are all that good, which makes betting this game a pretty big question mark. In fact, I wasn’t even considering betting on it until I saw the line. Uhhhhh, what kind of meth are you people smoking over at the sports books? (I’m not a cop, I just want to share). Watford +240 at home is a fucking gift. Sure, Wolves probably deserve to be a bit higher in the table after a couple of solid performances against United and Spurs that ended in 1-0 defeats, but they’re still sitting at 18th with 0 goals scored. Watford, meanwhile, had a similarly tough loss against Spurs and managed 3 points against Villa in their first game. Basically, these sides are about even and I give a slight edge to the Hornets at Vicarage Road, which means that +240 for Watford is crazy. How Wolves are a heavy favorite at +125 is beyond me, and I will gladly take a shot at this bet with the chance of a heavy payout. Feel free to take the double chance if you’d like some safety, but I don’t think it’s warranted here.
BET: Liverpool at the moneyline with PointsBet (-133)
📈 61.4% probability
Some more great odds for a favorite to win here, with the Reds at -133 as they face Leeds.
Their front three of Jota, Mane and Salah should all be starting thanks to playing later in the weekend after the international break, meaning they will pretty much be at full strength offensively (Firmino is currently questionable) with plently of goals in the offing against a Leeds side that has conceded eight goals in their opening three games.
Premier League Parlay
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🔥 Tottenham ML
🔥 Watford ML
🔥 Liverpool ML
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