Baylor vs. Duke Prediction: Duke Predicted to Win March Madness Second Round Matchup [3/23/2025]

Duke will take on Baylor in March Madness Second Round action at Lenovo Center on Sunday, beginning at 2:55PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven college basketball model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts Duke as the most likely winner of today's game.

Check the latest March Madness bracket projections and 2025 NCAA Championship probabilities from our expert team.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Baylor-Duke game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows Duke with a win probability of 88%, while Baylor has 12%."

For expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks, visit our interactive Baylor vs. Duke predictions page.

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Baylor vs. Duke Prediction: Who Will Win and Advance to the Sweet Sixteen?

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NCAA Tournament game between Baylor and Duke 10,000 times as part of our March Madness predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives Duke an 88% chance of defeating Baylor. Our predicted final score has Duke winning 80-68.

According to our model, Duke (-12.5) has a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the 146.5-point over/under has a 55% chance of going over.

Pre-Game Probabilities

Last Updated: 6:34PM, Mar 23

Spread

Over / Under

Moneyline

Baylor

Duke -12.5

48%

52%

-102

-105

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See Matchup

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Duke

Baylor BAY

-102

Duke -12.5

48%

52%

See Matchup

Duke DUKE

-105

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Baylor vs. Duke March Madness Odds

We have researched the best March Madness odds in America for this Second Round game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Boost your betting this month with the top March Madness betting sites and March Madness betting promos, sourced from top sportsbooks and DFS operators.

Baylor vs. Duke Picks and Best Bets

Our model's strongest edge in today's Baylor vs. Duke matchup is on the spread.

Our expert predictions, matched against the best odds, reveal the best March Madness picks and March Madness best bets for every game throughout the tournament.

Unlimited access to our full suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

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Baylor vs. Duke Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Sunday's college basketball action between Duke and Baylor at Lenovo Center is scheduled to begin at 2:55PM ET.

• Who: Baylor vs. Duke
• Date: Sunday, March 23, 2025
• Time: 2:55PM ET/11:55AM PT
• Venue: Lenovo Center
• March Madness Stage: Second Round

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Sunday's Baylor vs. Duke matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Baylor vs. Duke picks, be sure to check out the latest March Madness predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Key March Madness Guides and Insights

• Learn about NCAA Championship history and the lowest-seeded team to ever win March Madness
• Get answers to legal questions, including which states you can legally bet on college sports and the minimum age required to place a bet on March Madness
• A breakdown of March Madness futures bets and popular prop bets for the NCAA tournament
• Explore strategy with guides on identifying value bets during the tournament and betting on individual player awards like Tournament MVP
• Understand the tournament format, including how many games are played in March Madness and how venue locations impact teams when playing at neutral sites

Conclusion

We predict Duke, with an 88% win probability, will likely beat Baylor on Sunday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Baylor vs. Duke insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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Stay informed with the latest college basketball predictions, college basketball news and NCAA Tournament parlay picks throughout the tournament. Plus, our NCAA Tournament Championship odds offer the latest predictions for every March Madness contender.