Paraguay vs. Australia prediction, odds, props, World Cup 2026 picks [Group Stage]

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's World Cup 2026 game between Paraguay and Australia, forming part of our World Cup 2026 predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model suggests a 37.9% chance of Paraguay winning, a 30.7% chance for Australia, and a 31.4% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the 1.5-goal over/under has a 57.6% chance of going over, with a 61.7% chance of at least one team keeping a clean sheet. In the win to nil market, Paraguay holds a 26.2% probability to win without conceding, with Australia at 21.1%.

For bettors looking to cover multiple outcomes, the most likely double chance result is Paraguay to win or draw at 69.3%.

Australia vs. Paraguay odds

We have sourced the best World Cup 2026 odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Paraguay	Australia	Draw
+175	+320	+130

Total Goals

Over 1.5	Under 1.5
-155	+128

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Paraguay vs. Australia picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Australia @ +320 via DraftKings
• Total Goals: Under 1.5 @ +128 via FanDuel
• Win to Nil: Australia @ +450 via BetMGM
• Both Teams To Score: No @ -155 via BetMGM

According to our World Cup 2026 best bets, the top play to make on this game is Australia to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Although they are not the most likely winner of the match, the edge provided on Australia's odds provide the best value right now.

Paraguay vs. Australia: Correct score and BTTS predictions

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-0 Paraguay win being the most probable:

Final Score	Probability
Paraguay 1-0 Australia	15%
Paraguay 0-0 Australia	14.4%
Paraguay 1-1 Australia	13.5%

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 38.3% chance of both Paraguay and Australia finding the net and a 61.7% chance that at least one doesn’t.

Paraguay vs. Australia player props: Anytime goal scorer predictions

Our World Cup 2026 player projections for Thursday highlight the top candidates to score a goal in Paraguay-Australia:

Paraguay

• Gabriel Avalos: 17.5% probability
• Julio Enciso: 17.0% probability
• Diego Gomez: 11.6% probability
• Mauricio : 10.8% probability
• Matias Galarza: 10.7% probability

Australia

• Mohamed Toure: 16.7% probability
• Nestory Irankunda: 14.3% probability
• Conor Metcalfe: 9.1% probability
• Harry Souttar: 6.7% probability
• Jordan Bos: 5.7% probability

Paraguay vs. Australia game-day updates and essential details

Thursday's FIFA World Cup matchup between Paraguay and Australia at Levi's Stadium is scheduled to begin at 10:00 PM ET.

• Who: Paraguay vs. Australia
• Date: Thursday, June 25, 2026
• Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
• Venue: Levi's Stadium

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

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Conclusion

According to our computer model, Paraguay has a 37.9% win probability on Thursday, Australia has a 30.7% win probability, and there is a 31.4% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.