Atlanta Falcons vs. Chicago Bears Prediction, Odds, NFL Picks - Week 17 [2023]

Atlanta Falcons vs. Chicago Bears Prediction, Odds, NFL Picks - Week 17 [2023]

NFL Week 17 action continues on Sunday at 1:00PM ET as the Atlanta Falcons lock horns with the Chicago Bears at Soldier Field.'s in-depth betting preview for Sunday's Falcons vs. Bears matchup includes the latest betting odds, as well as our predictions and picks for the game.

Falcons vs. Bears Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread

We have used trusted machine learning and data to simulate the outcome of Sunday's NFL game between the Falcons and Bears 10,000 times, in line with our coverage of NFL predictions.

Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Bears a 62% chance of defeating the Falcons in Week 17 of the NFL season, and our predicted final score has the Bears winning 20-18.

According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and both the Falcons and Bears have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the Over/Under total of 38 points also has a 51% chance of going over.

This Atlanta vs. Chicago betting preview is brought to you by Bet365, which has a tasty Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets promo for new users.

Falcons vs. Bears Odds

We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Falcons Bears
Spread +3 (-110) -3 (-105)
Moneyline +136 -158
Total o38 (-105) u38 (-110)
  • The Bears are currently -3 favorites against the Falcons, with -105 at FanDuel Sportsbook the best odds currently available.
  • For the underdog Falcons (+3) to cover the spread, BetMGM Sportsbook has the best odds currently on offer at -110.
  • FanDuel currently has the best moneyline odds for the Bears at -158. That means you can risk $158 to win $100 for a total payout of $258 if they get the W.
  • Elsewhere, DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Falcons at +136, where you can put down $100 to profit $136, earning a total payout of $236 if they win.
  • The Over/Under sits at 38 with DraftKings, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -105, while BetMGM currently has the best odds for the Under at -110.

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

As always, make sure you check all of the online sports betting sites that are available in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.

Falcons vs. Bears Picks

By comparing our probabilities to the odds listed above, we have determined the best betting picks to place on this game:

Bet Type Our Pick Best Odds
Spread Bears -3 -105
Moneyline Bears -158
Total Over 38 -105


Our best NFL bets are based on detailed modeling and wagering intelligence to bring you the best possible plays every week of the season.

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Falcons vs. Bears TD Scorers

Who will score an anytime touchdown in Falcons vs. Bears?

According to our model, Atlanta's Bijan Robinson is most likely to score the first TD in Falcons vs. Bears.

Our projections give Robinson a 12.7% chance of scoring the first TD at Soldier Field, while the Falcons RB is a 44.3% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

First Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Atlanta Falcons

Player First TD Probability
Bijan Robinson 12.7%
Drake London 6.5%
Tyler Allgeier 6.1%
Cordarrelle Patterson 5.3%
Kyle Pitts 5.1%

Chicago Bears

Player First TD Probability
Justin Fields 11.9%
DJ Moore 8.0%
Roschon Johnson 7.8%
Khalil Herbert 7.5%
Cole Kmet 4.9%

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Atlanta Falcons

Player Anytime TD Probability
Bijan Robinson 44.3%
Drake London 24.9%
Tyler Allgeier 24.6%
Kyle Pitts 20.4%
Cordarrelle Patterson 19.9%

Chicago Bears

Player Anytime TD Probability
Justin Fields 42.5%
DJ Moore 30.9%
Roschon Johnson 30.2%
Khalil Herbert 29.3%
Cole Kmet 20.4%

Falcons vs Bears Player Props

Here, you will find detailed projections for all of the key offensive players from the Falcons and Bears, including passing, rushing and receiving yards.

Falcons vs. Bears Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Falcons' Taylor Heinicke is projected for 217 passing yards, while the Bears' Justin Fields is expected to throw for 199 yards.

Player Proj. Pass Yards
Taylor Heinicke (ATL) 217 yds
Justin Fields (CHI) 199 yds

Falcons Rushing

Player Proj. Rush Yards
Bijan Robinson 67 yds
Tyler Allgeier 39 yds
Cordarrelle Patterson 17 yds

Bears Rushing

Player Proj. Rush Yards
Justin Fields 64 yds
Khalil Herbert 57 yds
Roschon Johnson 28 yds

Falcons Receiving

Player Proj. Rec. Yards
Drake London 51 yds
Kyle Pitts 32 yds
Bijan Robinson 22 yds
Jonnu Smith 20 yds
Scott Miller 19 yds

Bears Receiving

Player Proj. Rec. Yards
DJ Moore 85 yds
Cole Kmet 43 yds
Darnell Mooney 32 yds
Roschon Johnson 17 yds
Tyler Scott 15 yds

Don't forget, our model updates often, so keep checking this page for any changes to our betting insights ahead of the Falcons vs. Bears on Sunday December 31, 2023.

Falcons vs. Bears Game Information

The NFL Week 17 game between the Bears and Falcons at Soldier Field is scheduled to start at 1:00PM ET.


Our full betting coverage of Falcons vs. Bears includes pregame predictions, betting picks, and live win probabilities.

How to Bet on Falcons vs. Bears

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This preview article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on Falcons vs. Bears Week 14 matchup, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control are performed to ensure the content meets our editorial standards.

Dimers' picks are made thanks to 10,000 simulations per game, using reliable and up-to-date data sources and analytical methods. While our Falcons vs. Bears picks can help you make informed decisions, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and manage your bankroll effectively.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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More on NFL

Stay well-informed with the most recent NFL news and our analytics-driven NFL picks and parlays all season long. Plus, our Super Bowl odds give you the latest projections and the best available odds on the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC, and each division.

Ryan Leaver
Senior Sports and Sports Betting Editor

Ryan Leaver has long been entrenched in the world of sports and sports betting, now specializing in the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. His passion shines through in his detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles for both the NBA and NFL, along with his sharp prop bets for college football and insightful best bets for college basketball. Ryan’s expertise also extends to soccer, where he frequently offers practical betting tips and highlights the bets of the day. 

Known for his keen eye for valuable betting promos, Ryan adeptly guides bettors toward opportunities that enhance their wagering experiences. Collaborating often with DimersBOT, his articles are meticulously researched and offer savvy betting advice, making him a trusted source for sports bettors.

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