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Read Article Dream vs. Fire prediction: Why Atlanta is favored to win Friday's WNBA matchup [5/29/2026]
Updated: | First published:
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Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Atlanta Dream vs Portland Fire predictions for WNBA Friday.
The Portland Fire will square off with the favored Atlanta Dream in WNBA action at Moda Center on Friday, beginning at 10:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced WNBA model predicts the Dream as the most likely winner of the Dream vs. Fire game.
The Fire, who have stars like Carla Leite, Emily Engstler and Luisa Geiselsoder, are set to take on the Dream, whose lineup includes Allisha Gray, Rhyne Howard and Angel Reese.
This article offers further insights into Friday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Dream vs. Fire prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's WNBA matchup between the Dream and Fire, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Dream an 86% chance of beating the Fire.
According to our model, the Dream (-9.5) have a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 163.5 points has a 55% chance of staying under.
Dream vs. Fire odds
We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Dream | Fire |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -9.5 (-105) | +9.5 (-115) |
| Moneyline | -360 | +300 |
| Total | o163.5 (-110) | u163.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Dream vs. Fire picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Dream -9.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Dream | -360 |
| Total | Under 163.5 | -110 |
According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Dream to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Dream vs. Fire player props
Looking for Atlanta vs. Portland WNBA player props? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Moda Center.
Allisha Gray is expected to lead the Dream with 20 points, 6 rebounds and 3 assists, while Carla Leite is projected to have 11 points, 2 rebounds and 3 assists for the Fire.
When evaluating the first basket market, Allisha Gray is our top projected player to score first, backed by a 13.6% probability.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.
Dream prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Dream are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allisha Gray | 20 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 37 |
| Rhyne Howard | 18 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 38 |
| Angel Reese | 15 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 42 |
| Jordin Canada | 12 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 34 |
| Naz Hillmon | 10 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 27 |
Fire prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Fire:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carla Leite | 11 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 20 |
| Emily Engstler | 9 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 28 |
| L. Geiselsoder | 8 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 20 |
| Megan Gustafson | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 |
| Sarah Barker | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 15 |
Dream vs. Fire game-day updates and essential details
Friday's game between the Fire and Dream at Moda Center is scheduled to begin at 10:00 PM ET.
- Who: Atlanta Dream vs. Portland Fire
- Date: Friday, May 29, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
- Venue: Moda Center
Conclusion
We predict the Dream, with an 86% win probability, will likely beat the Fire in Friday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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