Dream vs. Mercury Prediction: Phoenix Predicted to Win Wednesday's WNBA Matchup [7/23/2025]

The Phoenix Mercury and Atlanta Dream are scheduled to meet in the WNBA at PHX Arena on Wednesday, starting at 10:00PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven WNBA model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Mercury as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Our team has simulated the outcome of Wednesday's Dream-Mercury game 10,000 times," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"With the latest updates and numerous other variables, we estimate the Mercury's chance of winning at 73%, with the Dream at 27%."

The Mercury, powered by Kahleah Copper, Satou Sabally and Alyssa Thomas, are set to take on the Dream, who feature Allisha Gray, Brittney Griner and Jordin Canada.

For expanded analysis of Wednesday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Dream vs. Mercury predictions page.

Mercury vs. Dream Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's WNBA matchup between the Dream and Mercury 10,000 times as part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Mercury a 73% chance of defeating the Dream.

According to our model, the Dream (+7.5) have a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 163 points has a 53% chance of going over.

Dream vs. Mercury Odds

We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Dream	Mercury
Spread	+7.5 (-110)	-7.5 (-110)
Moneyline	+260	-310
Total	o163 (-110)	u163 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Dream vs. Mercury Picks and Best Bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Dream vs. Mercury matchup is on the total.

Our expert predictions, matched against the latest odds, reveal the best WNBA picks and WNBA best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Dream vs. Mercury Player Props

WNBA prop bets are a great way to wager on Wednesday's Dream vs. Mercury game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at PHX Arena.

Allisha Gray is expected to lead the Dream in scoring, while Kahleah Copper is projected to be the top scorer for the Mercury.

Dimers Pro users can access a full range of player props and projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every WNBA game this season.

Dream vs. Mercury Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Wednesday's game between the Mercury and Dream at PHX Arena is scheduled to commence at 10:00PM ET.

• Who: Atlanta Dream vs. Phoenix Mercury
• Date: Wednesday, July 23, 2025
• Time: 10:00PM ET/7:00PM PT
• Venue: PHX Arena

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Wednesday's Dream vs. Mercury matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Dream vs. Mercury picks, be sure to check out the latest WNBA predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Conclusion

We predict the Mercury, with a 73% win probability, will likely beat the Dream on Wednesday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Dream vs. Mercury insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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