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Read Article Astros vs. Diamondbacks Game 3 Prediction for MLB Sunday [10/1/2023]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dimers Data
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The Arizona Diamondbacks will face the Houston Astros in Game of the League Series at Chase Field on Sunday, commencing at 3:10PM ET.
The Diamondbacks will have Kyle Nelson (7-3, 3.88 ERA) as their starting pitcher, while the Astros have opted for Cristian Javier (9-5, 4.73 ERA).
Dimers' free betting picks for Astros vs. Diamondbacks, plus game predictions and betting odds, are detailed in this article.
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Who Will Win: Astros vs. Diamondbacks
Using high-tech computer power and data, Dimers.com has simulated Sunday's Astros-Diamondbacks MLB matchup 10,000 times.
Dimers' revolutionary predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, currently gives the Astros a 60% chance of defeating the Diamondbacks.
More: Betting Predictions for Astros vs. Diamondbacks
Astros vs. Diamondbacks Odds [10/1]
- Run Line: Diamondbacks +1.5 (+120), Astros -1.5 (-125)
- Moneyline: Diamondbacks +190, Astros -200
- Total: Over/Under 9 (-120/+100)
The Diamondbacks are listed as +1.5 underdogs against the Astros, with +120 at DraftKings Sportsbook the best odds currently available.
For the favored Astros (-1.5) to cover the run line, BetMGM has the best odds currently on offer at -125.
PointsBet currently has the best moneyline odds for the Diamondbacks at +190, which means you can bet $100 to profit $190, earning a total payout of $290, if they win.
Meanwhile, BetMGM currently has the best moneyline odds for the Astros at -200, where you can risk $200 to win $100, for a total payout of $300, if they come out on top.
The Over/Under for total runs scored sits at 9 with BetMGM, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -120, as well as the best odds for the Under at +100.
As always, check out all the sportsbooks that are available in your state for the best MLB odds and lines.
According to DimersBOT, the Diamondbacks (+1.5) have a 51% chance of covering the run line, while the Over/Under total of 9 runs has a 63% chance of going Over.
More: Best Prop Bets to Make Today
Best Bets: Astros vs. Diamondbacks
- Run Line: Diamondbacks +1.5 @ +120 via DraftKings Sportsbook (51% probability) 🔥
- Moneyline: Diamondbacks @ +190 via PointsBet (5.9% edge) 🔥
- Total: Over 9 @ -120 via BetMGM (63% probability) 🔥
Any time you see a 🔥, that means it's one of our best bets today across all major pro and college sports.
Dimers' best bets are based on world-class simulations and gambling expertise to help you make better decisions with the legal sportsbooks in America.
While the Astros are more likely to win the game, according to DimersBOT, betting on the Diamondbacks moneyline is the best option because of the 5.9% edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the betting odds currently available.
Taking advantage of the edges published on Dimers.com is crucial to being profitable in the long run.
Astros vs. Diamondbacks Prediction
Dimers.com predicts that the Astros are more likely to beat the Diamondbacks in the MLB game on Sunday.
This prediction is based on detailed data-driven analysis, with the Astros given a 60% probability of winning after conducting 10,000 simulations of the game.
Click or tap on See Matchup for more information.
Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 7:27PM, Oct 1
Moneyline
Over / Under
Run Line
Cristian Javier 9-5, 4.73 ERA
Kyle Nelson 7-3, 3.88 ERA
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro
Dimers has full coverage of Sunday's Astros-Diamondbacks game, including pregame predictions, free betting picks, and live win probabilities.
Remember, DimersBOT updates often, so keep checking this page for any changes to our betting analysis before Astros vs. Diamondbacks on Sunday October 1, 2023.
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Astros vs. Diamondbacks 2023
Sunday's MLB matchup between the Diamondbacks and Astros at Chase Field is scheduled to commence at 3:10PM ET.
- Who: Houston Astros vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
- Date: Sunday October 1, 2023
- Time: 3:10PM ET / 12:10PM PT
- Venue: Chase Field
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Calling Our Shot ⚾️ Free Picks
Calling Our Shot produces daily MLB betting content, including the free picks featured below.
Make Informed Sports Betting Decisions with Dimers
Dimers' predictions are based on 10,000 simulations per game, using reliable and up-to-date data sources and analytical methods.
While our Astros vs. Diamondbacks predictions can help you make informed decisions, it's important that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Want More MLB Analysis Like This?
So, you liked our Astros vs. Diamondbacks betting analysis? Awesome. Did you know our MLB Betting News section has a comprehensive betting preview for every MLB matchup as soon as the sportsbooks put out their odds?
That's right, our predictive analytics model then compares those odds against its own probabilities to find value in the markets, which allows us to create the most authoritative MLB betting previews and get the jump on the public and the sportsbooks.
In addition to our leading MLB predictions, Dimers also offers the best MLB prop bets today, projecting home runs, RBIs, and more against the best odds available every day of the MLB season.
Finally, Dimers' MLB Futures page is our in-house approach to revealing who will win the World Series, with our data-driven probabilities matched against the best odds on the market.
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Dimers Data Dimers Data delivers cold-blooded analysis straight from thousands of simulations run by predictive models built by our in-house team of data scientists and analysts. No hunches. No guesswork. Just pure, data-led insight serious bettors rely on to stay ahead.
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