Alaves vs. Atletico Madrid Prediction, Picks and Odds

Alaves vs. Atletico Madrid: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

• Teams: Alaves vs. Atletico Madrid
• Date: Saturday, August 30, 2025
• Time: 11:00 AM ET
• Venue: Estadio de Mendizorroza

Current Betting Odds

• Moneyline Odds: Alaves +450, Atletico Madrid -145, Draw +260
• Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (+140/-170)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

• Alaves: 20.5%
• Atletico Madrid: 53.7%
• Draw: 25.8%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this La Liga game is Alaves 0-1 Atletico Madrid, which has a correct score probability of 14%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Alaves a win probability of 20.5%, while Atletico Madrid has a win probability of 53.7%. The chance of a draw is 25.8%.

Summary

Our Alaves vs. Atletico Madrid predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert La Liga predictions and the best La Liga bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes La Liga futures, La Liga odds, and the latest La Liga news.