Villareal vs. Atletico Madrid prediction, odds, La Liga picks [5/24/2026]
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Alaves vs. Atletico Madrid Prediction, Picks and Odds
Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Alaves vs. Atletico Madrid La Liga match on August 30, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
FINAL
LA LIGA
FINAL
LA LIGA
1
:
1
Aug 30, 11:00 AM ET Estadio de Mendizorroza (Vitoria-Gasteiz)
Aug 30, 11:00 AM ET Estadio de Mendizorroza (Vitoria-Gasteiz)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Pre-Game PredictionsPre-Game
Pro Bets
Score Summary
C. Vicente (pen.) (13')
G. Simeone (7')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
- Alaves
- Atletico Madrid
Win Probability
Match Timeline
Koke (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: Koke replaces G. Simeone
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: G. Raspadori replaces J. Alvarez
Substitution for Alaves: D. Suarez replaces C. Protesoni
V. Parada (Alaves) cautioned
Substitution for Alaves: C. Protesoni replaces P. Ibanez
Substitution for Alaves: M. Diaz replaces T. Martinez
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: M. Ruggeri replaces J. Cardoso
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: A. Griezmann replaces T. Almada
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: C. Gallagher replaces D. Hancko
Substitution for Alaves: A. Guevara replaces M. Diarra
Substitution for Alaves: V. Parada replaces J. Guridi
A. Sorloth (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
M. Diarra (Alaves) cautioned
J. Cardoso (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
Goal scored for Alaves by C. Vicente (pen.)
1-1
Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by G. Simeone
1-0
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Alaves vs. Atletico Madrid: Match prediction & analysis
Match overview
- Teams: Alaves vs. Atletico Madrid
- Date: Saturday, August 30, 2025
- Time: 11:00 AM ET
- Venue: Estadio de Mendizorroza
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Alaves +450, Atletico Madrid -145, draw +260
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+140/-170)
Dimers' win & correct score probabilities
- Alaves: 20.5%
- Atletico Madrid: 53.7%
- Draw: 25.8%
These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.
Most likely correct score: Alaves 0-1 Atletico Madrid (14.4%)
Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.
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- Moneyline probabilities
- Total goals probabilities
- Correct score probabilities
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Who will win Alaves vs. Atletico Madrid? Prediction & correct score
Atletico Madrid is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 53.7%.
The most likely correct score is Alaves 0-1 Atletico Madrid.
But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.
Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.
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