Aryna Sabalenka vs. Madison Keys prediction, odds, picks for WTA Brisbane International 2026

Aryna Sabalenka will square off with Madison Keys in the quarterfinals at the WTA Brisbane event on Thursday.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced tennis model predicts Aryna Sabalenka as the most likely winner of the Sabalenka vs. Keys match.

This article offers further insights into Thursday's match, including best bets and picks.

Sabalenka vs. Keys prediction: Who will win and advance to the semifinals?

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Thursday's Sabalenka-Keys women's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives Sabalenka an 82% chance of defeating Keys at the WTA Brisbane International tournament.

Additionally, Sabalenka has a 77% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Sabalenka (-4.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 21.5 games has a 57% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Aryna Sabalenka vs. Madison Keys odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Sabalenka vs. Keys picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below: