Army vs. UMBC prediction: UMBC favored to win men's college basketball matchup [12/12/2025]

UMBC will take on Army in men's college basketball action at Chesapeake Employers Insurance Arena on Friday, commencing at 6:00PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced college basketball model predicts UMBC as the most likely winner of the Army vs. UMBC game.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Friday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Army vs. UMBC prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Friday's NCAA basketball game between Army and UMBC 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives UMBC a 76% chance of defeating Army. Our predicted final score has UMBC winning 78-71.

According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and Army and UMBC each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 146.5 points has a 54% chance of going over.

Army vs. UMBC odds

We have researched the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Army vs. UMBC picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below: