Arkansas State vs. Arkansas-Little Rock prediction: Why Arkansas State is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [12/6/2025]

Arkansas-Little Rock will face the favored Arkansas State in men's college basketball action at Jack Stephens Center on Saturday, commencing at 9:00PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven college basketball model projects Arkansas State as the most likely winner of the Arkansas State vs. Arkansas-Little Rock game.

This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Arkansas State vs. Arkansas-Little Rock prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's NCAA basketball game between Arkansas State and Arkansas-Little Rock 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives Arkansas State a 78% chance of defeating Arkansas-Little Rock. Our predicted final score has Arkansas State winning 77-69.

According to our model, Arkansas-Little Rock (+9.5) has a 57% chance of covering the spread, while the 149.5-point over/under has a 54% chance of staying under.

Arkansas State vs. Arkansas-Little Rock odds

We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Arkansas State vs. Arkansas-Little Rock picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below: