Arkansas State vs. Arkansas-Little Rock prediction: Why Arkansas State is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [12/6/2025]

Arkansas-Little Rock and Arkansas State will meet in men's college basketball action at Jack Stephens Center on Saturday, with tipoff at 9:00PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced college basketball model projects Arkansas State as the most likely winner of the Arkansas State vs. Arkansas-Little Rock game.

This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Arkansas State vs. Arkansas-Little Rock prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's NCAA basketball matchup between Arkansas State and Arkansas-Little Rock 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives Arkansas State a 78% chance of defeating Arkansas-Little Rock. Our predicted final score has Arkansas State winning 76-68.

According to our model, Arkansas-Little Rock (+9.5) has a 57% chance of covering the spread, while the 147.5-point over/under has a 53% chance of staying under.

Arkansas State vs. Arkansas-Little Rock odds

We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Arkansas State vs. Arkansas-Little Rock picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

According to our best men's college basketball bets, the top play to make on this game is Arkansas-Little Rock +9.5 at the spread.

Arkansas State vs. Arkansas-Little Rock game-day updates and essential details

Saturday's men's college basketball action between Arkansas-Little Rock and Arkansas State at Jack Stephens Center is scheduled to begin at 9:00PM ET.

• Who: Arkansas State vs. Arkansas-Little Rock
• Date: Saturday, December 6, 2025
• Time: 9:00PM ET/6:00PM PT
• Venue: Jack Stephens Center

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Conclusion

We predict Arkansas State, with a 78% win probability, will likely beat Arkansas-Little Rock on Saturday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Arkansas State vs. Arkansas-Little Rock insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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