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Read Article Alexandre Muller vs. Botic Van de Zandschulp prediction, odds, picks for ATP Italian Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Muller vs Van de Zandschulp predictions for ATP Italian Open.
Alexandre Muller and Botic Van de Zandschulp will lock horns in the round of 128 of the ATP Italian Open event on Wednesday.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced tennis model projects Botic Van de Zandschulp as the most likely winner of the Muller vs. Van de Zandschulp match.
This article offers a closer look at Wednesday's match, including best bets and picks.
Muller vs. Van de Zandschulp prediction: Who will win and advance to the second round?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's Muller-Van de Zandschulp men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives Van de Zandschulp a 55% chance of defeating Muller at the ATP Italian Open tournament.
Additionally, Van de Zandschulp has a 53% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Muller (+2.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the **over/under of 22.5 games has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting, according to our model.
Alexandre Muller vs. Botic Van de Zandschulp odds
We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Muller | Van de Zandschulp |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +125 | -147 |
| First Set | +110 | -139 |
| Game Spread | +2.5 (-145) | -2.5 (-110) |
| Total Games | o22.5 (-110) | u22.5 (-120) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Muller vs. Van de Zandschulp picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Muller | +125 |
| First Set | Van de Zandschulp | -110 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Alexandre Muller to win.
Although Muller is less than likely to win, he provides the best value at the current available odds.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Muller vs. Van de Zandschulp updates and essential details
The ATP Italian Open match between Alexandre Muller and Botic Van de Zandschulp is scheduled to begin on Wednesday at 7:00 AM ET.
- Who: Alexandre Muller vs. Botic Van de Zandschulp
- Date: Wednesday, May 6, 2026
- Approx. Time: 7:00 AM ET/4:00AM PT
- Tournament: ATP Rome, Italy Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 128
All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
We predict Botic Van de Zandschulp, with a 55% win probability, will likely beat Alexandre Muller at the ATP Italian Open tournament.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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