Phillies @ Braves: Predictions, bets and picks

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August 22, 2020 7:57 PM

The Phillies have been about as temperamental as a two-year-old baby this year; sometimes they’re good, sometimes they’re really bad. It’s been an up and down season so far for Philadelphia who is riding a four-game losing streak.

The Atlanta Braves are four from their last five, including an 11-2 win against the Phillies yesterday in their weekend series opener, and our predictive model thinks that will continue into today.

Here are our best plays for the day:

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Dimers' Suggested Plays
🔥BEST: Braves +1.5 (-150*)
💵Moneyline: Braves (+110*)
👇Total runs: Under 9.5 (-110*)

 

BEST
Braves +1.5 (-150*) has a 64% probability

The form of Phillies starting pitcher Zack Wheeler has been exemplary with a 3-0 starting record so far this year, but the question mark has to be over Philadelphia’s offense. Only two runs against the Braves yesterday provides some food for thought. We really like the Braves here and our analysis suggests the run line is the most sensible and safe market to bet on here.

 

Moneyline
Braves (+110*) has a 52% probability

The Braves had the better of the Phillies yesterday and our predictive model is expecting the dominance to continue.

Total Runs
Under 9.5 runs (-110*) has a 52% probability

This is the second series these two teams have played this month with the Braves and Philly already battling it out two weekends ago. Runs were relatively hard to come by back then and our model anticipates the under is the play to make here today.

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Dimers' take-out

On paper the Braves are the superior team. Better overall record and a better head-to-head record against the Phillies who have been too inconsistent. Take advantage of the Braves at the run line. Take them at the moneyline if you’re feeling adventurous.

*odds are correct at time of publishing