2021 NBA Playoffs - Atlanta Hawks @ Milwaukee Bucks Game 5: Best Betting Picks, Props and Parlay, Thursday July 1, 2021

With the Phoenix Suns already through to the finals, the ECF is locked at 2-2 and our model is hard at work to predict what's going to happen between the Atlanta Hawks and Milwaukee Bucks.

It's Thursday July 1, and, as always, we've simulated tonight's playoff game 10,000 times, determining where the value lies for bettors across the United States.

With NBA betting picks, probabilities, odds and predicted scores featured each and every day, check out our top plays for tonight's game.

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Here are our bets for tonight's playoff game ⏬‍‍

‍Predicted score after 10,000 simulations

 

📊 Trends

◼️ The Atlanta Hawks are 5-2 against the spread in their last 7 games as a road underdog.
◼️ The Under is 5-0 in the Milwaukee Bucks last 5 games following an against the spread loss.
◼️ The Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these teams.

 

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✅ Best Bet

BET: Bucks at the moneyline with DraftKings Sportsbook (+4000)

📈 55% probability

At the time of writing, the latest with Trae and Giannis is that they are day-to-day, but regardless of whether one or two of them play, we're taking the Bucks to go up 3-2.

If either play, they will be clearly be limited, meaning it'll take the second and third best guys on either team to win it, in which case, we're backing in Middleton and Holiday in front of their home crowd.

UPDATE: Giannis has been confirmed as out, with Trae listed as questionable. We likely won't know if Trae is in until after shootaround, but either way, we're sticking with the Bucks to win for the above listed reasons.

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🧨 Best Prop

PLAYER: Jrue Holiday

BET: Over 10.5 assists with DraftKings Sportsbook (+120)

So, Giannis is out and it's time for Khris and Jrue to stand up. Jrue Holiday had 12 assists in game three and backed it up with 9 more in the Hawks blow out win in game four.

While it's reasonably safe to expect Khris Middleton to take the lead when it comes to scoring for the Bucks tonight, Jrue will be the main ball handler and facilitator. 

One Game Parlay

🦁 with BetMGM 🦁

🔥 Bucks ML
🔥 Holiday o9.5 dimes
🔥 Huerter o2.5 threes
🔥 Connaughton o2.5 threes

💰 +1053 with BetMGM

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MORE BETTING PICKS:

🏀 READ: TODAY'S NBA BETTING PROPS
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