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2021 NBA Finals - Phoenix Suns vs. Milwaukee Bucks Game Three: Best Betting Picks, Props and Parlay, Sunday July 11, 2021
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
After a dominant opening two games in Arizona, the Phoenix Suns will go on the road to face the Milwaukee Bucks in Game 3 of the 2021 NBA Finals at the Fiserv Forum looking to take a near unassailable 3-0 series lead.
It's Sunday July 11, and, as always, we've simulated tonight's playoff game 10,000 times, determining where the value lies for bettors across the United States.
With NBA betting picks, probabilities, odds and predicted scores featured each and every day, check out our top plays for tonight's game.
Want even more NBA plays? Find out who we're betting on in every game via our NBA Bet Hub where we deliver you predictions and suggested bets, based on the edge we've identified against the sportsbooks' odds.
Just want picks? Sure thing. Visit our Quick Picks section and get the lowdown on the best bets for all pro and college sports.
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Here are our bets for tonight's playoff game ⏬
Predicted score after 10,000 simulations
📊 Trends
◼️ The Over is 4-0 in the Suns' last four games.
◼️ The Over is 4-0 in the Bucks' last four games.
◼️ The Phoenix Suns have covered the spread in each of their last five games vs. the Bucks.
✅ Best Bet
BET: Bucks at the moneyline with DraftKings Sportsbook (+15000)
📈 65% probability
After watching the display that the Suns put on in the first two games of this series, bettors may be shaking their heads at the fact that they head into Game 3 as underdogs with the sportsbooks against the Bucks. You may also be shaking your heads that our data projections agree with the sportsbooks!
You can never underestimate the home crowd advantage in situations like these, and as good as the Suns have been, Milwaukee have been in positions late in both games where they were keeping things close. With Giannis afforded an extra day of rest and with the Bucks desperately needing a win, we've got them taking this one.
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🧨 Best Prop
PLAYER: Khris Middleton
BET: OVER 37.5 points + reb + ast with DraftKings Sportsbook (-115)
Middleton is popular among the boo boys when things go wrong for the Bucks, and he was front and centre of the criticism in Game 2 when he went 5-16 from the field with only 11 points. As a whole, it was a rare bad game for the Bucks superstar for these playoffs and we wouldn't count on that happening again in front of his home fans.
Despite the poor shooting night, Middleton was able to be effective in other areas during Game 2, racking up the assists and rebounds which has been a common theme for him throughout the postseason. Our data projections have him down for at least 50 combined points, rebounds and assists.
One Game Parlay
🦁 with BetMGM 🦁
🔥 Bucks ML
🔥 Middleton to score 25+ points
🔥 Middleton o7.5 rebounds
🔥 Antetokounmpo o12.5 rebounds
💰 +772 with BetMGM
BetMGM is offering a great bonus for players looking to cash in on this One Game Parlay. It does't even matter if you win! Simply deposit $20 into your account, place your bet, and then wait for the money to come in, regardless of the result! It's free money.
MORE BETTING PICKS:
🏀 READ: TODAY'S NBA PROPS
⚾ READ: TODAY'S MLB PICKS
⚽️ READ: EURO 2020 FINAL PREVIEW
💰 READ: TODAY'S SPORTS PARLAY
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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